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D- Composite 39.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$365,000

266 N Portside Ln · Saratoga Springs, UT 84045
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,311 sqft · Other public records · 66 Days on market
Built 2021 871 sqft lot $123/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

There are no remarks available.

Key facts

  • Storm door
  • New front door
  • $123 HOA

Tags

NEW FRONT DOORSTORM DOORFULLY UPGRADED WATER PURIFIEREXPANSIVE UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: NORTHSHORE
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (Advantage Management); Monthly association fee of $123; Community clubhouse, pool, playground, picnic area, barbecue; pets permitted

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 4 open parking spaces; 6 total parking spaces
  • Security: Alarm system
  • Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary water
  • Home design: Townhouse (row-mid); Built in 2021; East-facing
  • Construction: Stucco and cement siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Built and standing
  • Exterior features: Double pane windows; Full landscaping

Interior

  • Kitchen: Updated kitchen; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Portable dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 2nd floor
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bathroom; Walk-in closet; Garbage disposal; Updated kitchen; Gas oven and range; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $365k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-700 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (33.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (38.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (38.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Dry Creek School (math 60% / reading 60%, grade B-, #52 of 585 statewide, top 10%, 1,127 students, 13% FRL); Willowcreek Middle (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #35 of 138 statewide, top 26%, 1,746 students, 13% FRL); Lehi High (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 171 statewide, top 34%, 1,982 students, 12% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1175 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,619 (38.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
4.49%
Cash-on-cash
-6.43%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$149,096
Equity at exit
$328,821
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
5.55×
Total profit
$464,678
Equity at exit
$709,115

Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Utah
86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 84045

Home prices YoY
3.9%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
1175
Price-to-rent
13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,246 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,914
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,597/yr
Insurance
$152
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$123
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$-700

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,132
Max offer price $241,372
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-493 -5% $-597 +0% $-700 +5% $-803 +10% $-906
Rent -10% $-877 -5% $-789 +0% $-700 +5% $-611 +10% $-522
Rate -1.0pp $-516 -0.5pp $-607 base $-700 +0.5pp $-794 +1.0pp $-891

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,250
Closing costs
$10,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
243 N Portside Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,150 $1.54 14d 1 0.02mi
986 Manifest Ln #2110 Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,200 $1.38 24d 1 0.05mi
1033 E Bearing Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,903 $1.78 3d 25 0.05mi
982 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 3.0 1508 $2,250 $1.49 24d 1 0.07mi
967 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1399 $2,200 $1.57 14d 1 0.08mi
38 N Heading Ct Unit 1 Saratoga Springs, UT 3.0 2.0 1455 $1,895 $1.30 21d 1 0.32mi
251 N Riverside Dr Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 2.5 1587 $2,250 $1.42 14d 1 1.03mi
1848 W 700 S Lehi, UT 3.0 2.5 1636 $2,349 $1.44 3d 1 1.12mi
39 S Baker Spring Cv Saratoga Springs, UT 4.0 2.5 1800 $2,400 $1.33 21d 1 1.12mi
68 S Willow Circle Loop Unit B Lehi, UT 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,625 $1.26 24d 1 1.42mi
28 S Willow Circle Loop Lehi, UT 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,550 $1.21 24d 2 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$123 · $1,476/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-05-11
    price $365,000
  3. 2026-04-06
    price $369,900
  4. 2026-03-22
    price $375,000
  5. 2026-03-16
    price $385,000
  6. 2026-03-13
    price $405,000
  7. 2026-03-10
    listed $425,000 Active
  8. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  9. 2024-06-28
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  10. 2024-05-30
    historical Backup 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  11. 2024-05-25
    price $369,990 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  12. 2024-05-23
    price $379,990 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  13. 2024-05-16
    price $384,999 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

  14. 2024-04-26
    listed $392,000 Active 31-char remark
    Show marketing remark (31 chars)

    There are no remarks available.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,597 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,409 · $201/mo
Expected delta
+$812/yr (+$68/mo · 50.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,954
− Mortgage interest
−$20,446
− Property taxes
−$1,597
− Insurance
−$3,650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,156
− Management
−$2,156
− HOA
−$1,476
− Depreciation
−$10,618
Taxable loss
−$15,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,635
After-tax cash flow
$-4,763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alpine District
NCES district ID
4900030
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$68,595
Composite
42.48/100
National rank
#3213
State rank
#25 of 80 in UT

Livability — Saratoga Springs

Score
70/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#7648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saratoga Springs, UT
County
Utah County · 661,754 people
City population
45,429
Metro
Provo-Orem, UT
Population (ZIP)
45,429
Household income
$130,331
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
476.0

Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
693,420 people
By 2030
757,324 · +9.2%
By 2040
893,178 · +28.8%
By 2050
1,035,842 · +49.4%
By 2075
1,376,733 · +98.5%
By 2100
1,609,388 · +132.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Scottish 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Utah

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.09%
Current HPI
298.0545
Rent YoY
▲ 0.68%
Metro
Provo-Orem, UT
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.54%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending WFRMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $365,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $369,900 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Price Changed $375,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $385,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $405,000 WFRMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $425,000 WFRMLS
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) WFRMLS
  • 2024-05-30 Contingent WFRMLS
  • 2024-05-25 Price Changed $369,990 WFRMLS
  • 2024-05-23 Price Changed $379,990 WFRMLS
  • 2024-05-16 Price Changed $384,999 WFRMLS
  • 2024-04-26 Listed $392,000 WFRMLS

Property tax history

+18.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,597 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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