266 N Portside Ln · Saratoga Springs, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AH
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,142 – $2,507
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$365,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- Storm door
- New front door
- $123 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: NORTHSHORE
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Advantage Management); Monthly association fee of $123; Community clubhouse, pool, playground, picnic area, barbecue; pets permitted
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 4 open parking spaces; 6 total parking spaces
- Security: Alarm system
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Culinary water
- Home design: Townhouse (row-mid); Built in 2021; East-facing
- Construction: Stucco and cement siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Built and standing
- Exterior features: Double pane windows; Full landscaping
Interior
- Kitchen: Updated kitchen; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Portable dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 2nd floor
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bathroom; Walk-in closet; Garbage disposal; Updated kitchen; Gas oven and range; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $365k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-700 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (33.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (38.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (38.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Dry Creek School (math 60% / reading 60%, grade B-, #52 of 585 statewide, top 10%, 1,127 students, 13% FRL); Willowcreek Middle (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #35 of 138 statewide, top 26%, 1,746 students, 13% FRL); Lehi High (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 171 statewide, top 34%, 1,982 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1175 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($343k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.43%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $149,096
- Equity at exit
- $328,821
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.55×
- Total profit
- $464,678
- Equity at exit
- $709,115
Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84045
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1175
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,246 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,914
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,597/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
- HOA
- −$123
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-700
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-493 | -5% $-597 | +0% $-700 | +5% $-803 | +10% $-906 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-877 | -5% $-789 | +0% $-700 | +5% $-611 | +10% $-522 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-516 | -0.5pp $-607 | base $-700 | +0.5pp $-794 | +1.0pp $-891 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,250
- Closing costs
- $10,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 N Portside Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,150 | $1.54 | 14d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 986 Manifest Ln #2110 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,200 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1033 E Bearing Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,903 | $1.78 | 3d | 25 | 0.05mi |
| 982 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1508 | $2,250 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 967 E Drifter Ln Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1399 | $2,200 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 38 N Heading Ct Unit 1 Saratoga Springs, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 251 N Riverside Dr Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1587 | $2,250 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1848 W 700 S Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1636 | $2,349 | $1.44 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 39 S Baker Spring Cv Saratoga Springs, UT | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,400 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 68 S Willow Circle Loop Unit B Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,625 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 28 S Willow Circle Loop Lehi, UT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $1,550 | $1.21 | 24d | 2 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $123 · $1,476/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-15status Under Contract
-
2026-05-11price $365,000
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2026-04-06price $369,900
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2026-03-22price $375,000
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2026-03-16price $385,000
-
2026-03-13price $405,000
-
2026-03-10$425,000 Active
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2024-06-28soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
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2024-06-28soldstatus
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2024-05-30historical Backup 31-char remark
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2024-05-25price $369,990 31-char remark
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2024-05-23price $379,990 31-char remark
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2024-05-16price $384,999 31-char remark
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2024-04-26$392,000 Active 31-char remark
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ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,597 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,409 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$812/yr (+$68/mo · 50.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AH · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,954
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,446
- − Property taxes
- −$1,597
- − Insurance
- −$3,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,156
- − Management
- −$2,156
- − HOA
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$10,618
- Taxable loss
- −$15,145
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,635
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alpine District
- NCES district ID
- 4900030
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,595
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #3213
- State rank
- #25 of 80 in UT
Livability — Saratoga Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #7648
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saratoga Springs, UT
- County
- Utah County · 661,754 people
- City population
- 45,429
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,429
- Household income
- $130,331
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 476.0
Population outlook (Utah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 693,420 people
- By 2030
- 757,324 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 893,178 · +28.8%
- By 2050
- 1,035,842 · +49.4%
- By 2075
- 1,376,733 · +98.5%
- By 2100
- 1,609,388 · +132.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Scottish 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Utah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.8) · D 28.5% · R 68.3% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +19.1pp toward D · 2008: -58.9pp · 2024: -39.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.3 2012: R+78.5 2008: R+58.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.09%
- Current HPI
- 298.0545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- Metro
- Provo-Orem, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-6.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $365,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $369,900 WFRMLS
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $375,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $385,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $405,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $425,000 WFRMLS
- 2024-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-06-28 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2024-05-30 Contingent — WFRMLS
- 2024-05-25 Price Changed $369,990 WFRMLS
- 2024-05-23 Price Changed $379,990 WFRMLS
- 2024-05-16 Price Changed $384,999 WFRMLS
- 2024-04-26 Listed $392,000 WFRMLS
Property tax history
+18.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,597 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…