2226 N Ellis Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$41,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome Investors! 2 bed 1 bath Bungalow with a spacious primary has been rented and has immediate cash flow. Come take a look! This home is sold as is. This home is SOLD AS A PACKAGE with 1817 N New York Ave, 1822 N Missouri, 1906 N Missouri Ave, 1324 N Underhill
Key facts
- 3,840 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $41k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $41k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $283 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $27k; list at $41k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.68%
- DSCR
- 3.21
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,219
- List price
- $41,000
- Delta
- -22.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2332 N Ellis St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+1%) | 2mo | $24,000 | $29 | 92 |
| 2318 N Flora Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-8%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $117 | 81 |
| 1214 W Brons Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+4%) | 2mo | $34,900 | $40 | 69 |
| 1017 W Gilbert Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-2%) | 2mo | $20,000 | $25 | 66 |
| 929 W Brons Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 736 (-12%) | 2mo | $44,900 | $61 | 63 |
| 1131 W Nowland Ave | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 880 (+6%) | 0mo | $53,500 | $61 | 63 |
| 614 W Loucks Ave | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 949 (+14%) | 2mo | $38,500 | $41 | 57 |
| 1126 W Gilbert Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (+6%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $102 | 57 |
| 1126 Thrush Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+14%) | 1mo | $62,500 | $66 | 53 |
| 617 W Hanssler Pl | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 952 (+14%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $68 | 52 |
| 412 E Republic St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 925 (+11%) | 1mo | $26,200 | $28 | 47 |
| 1631 N Dechman Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 956 (+15%) | 0mo | $30,000 | $31 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $22,966
- Equity at exit
- $6,113
- IRR
- 52.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $56,303
- Equity at exit
- $3,545
Cash invested: $11,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61604
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $980 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$215
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $803/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $475
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,250
- Closing costs
- $1,230
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2207 N Ellis St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $999 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 812 W Macqueen Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 822 | $795 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 903 W Brons Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $995 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 905 W Thrush Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2214 N Linsley St Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $550 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2023 N Underhill St Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1703 N Valley Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,200 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3108 N Parish Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 967 | $1,750 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1505 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,006 | $1.92 | 13d | 4 | 0.83mi |
| 511 W Elizabeth St Unit A Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $800 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 737 E Gift Ave Unit 737 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,125 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 901 NE Glen Oak Ave Unit 2 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 416 W Main St Unit A Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $950 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit A4 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 911 N Sheridan Rd Unit a1 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $850 | $1.03 | 13d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 905 N Sheridan Rd Unit F Peoria, IL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2121 N Prospect Rd Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $802 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| W Crestwood Dr Peoria, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 13d | 4 | 1.42mi |
| 811 W Purtscher Dr Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $41,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $41,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $41,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $41,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $41,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $41,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $41,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $41,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $41,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $41,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $41,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $41,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $41,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $41,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $41,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $41,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-03-26$49,990 Active 266-char remark
Show marketing remark (266 chars)
Welcome Investors! 2 bed 1 bath Bungalow with a spacious primary has been rented and has immediate cash flow. Come take a look! This home is sold as is. This home is SOLD AS A PACKAGE with 1817 N New York Ave, 1822 N Missouri, 1906 N Missouri Ave, 1324 N Underhill
-
2023-08-18soldstatus $27,000 Closed 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
2 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home for sale in the heart of Peoria. Being sold AS IS. This listing can be purchased as part of a package of 9 properties. All data is deemed credible but not guaranteed. Contact your agent for more information.
-
2023-07-20status Pending 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
2 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home for sale in the heart of Peoria. Being sold AS IS. This listing can be purchased as part of a package of 9 properties. All data is deemed credible but not guaranteed. Contact your agent for more information.
-
2023-07-14$29,500 Active 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
2 bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home for sale in the heart of Peoria. Being sold AS IS. This listing can be purchased as part of a package of 9 properties. All data is deemed credible but not guaranteed. Contact your agent for more information.
-
2018-10-04soldstatus $276,000
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2011-01-21soldstatus $15,250
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2010-09-22$19,900
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2007-02-21soldstatus $65,000
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2006-03-14soldstatus $31,000
-
2005-11-25$35,150
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2002-09-09soldstatus $41,500
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2002-09-05soldstatus $41,500
-
2002-06-05$45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $803 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $867 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$64/yr (+$5/mo · 7.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,297
- − Property taxes
- −$803
- − Insurance
- −$205
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$941
- − Management
- −$941
- − Depreciation
- −$1,193
- Taxable income
- $5,382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,292
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,412/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,313
- Household income
- $52,414
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 29% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.15%
- Current HPI
- 165.8838
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.30%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+11.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $49,990 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-18 Sold (MLS) $27,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-20 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-14 Listed $29,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $276,000 Public Records
- 2011-01-21 Sold (MLS) $15,250 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-22 Listed $19,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-14 Sold (MLS) $31,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-25 Listed $35,150 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $41,500 Public Records
- 2002-09-05 Sold (MLS) $41,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-05 Listed $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2024): $803 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…