8600 1ST Ave Unit B3 · Fairview, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent opportunity for buyers that commute to NYC . Great location, a block away from North Hudson Park. Nice building, fresh paint, three closets, outstanding kitchen conditions as well the apartment. Seller want to close ASAP. Make an Offer!!!
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Second floor
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-354/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (2.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $215k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.5% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#174 in NJ, #4,548 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D-, cost of living F.
- North Bergen School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #393 of 472 in NJ (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.57%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-32,500
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-9,289
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07047
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,337 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$289
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $-29
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8601 Bergenline Ave North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 952 | $3,482 | $3.66 | 1d | 27 | 0.02mi |
| 8404 4th Ave Unit 401 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $2,600 | $3.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8517 4th Ave Unit C4 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,850 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 331 79th St #15 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,850 | $2.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 311 79th St #9 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,695 | $2.83 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 9009 Durham Ave #2 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,000 | $3.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 42 Lincoln St Fairview, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,650 | $2.54 | 20d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 301 79th St Unit A9 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $1,850 | $2.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7812 Hudson Ave Unit B1 North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 7628 Kennedy Blvd North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,150 | $3.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1510 85th St Unit 1314966P North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $2,988 | $6.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8600 Boulevard E Unit 5F North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8600 Boulevard E Unit 4G North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $2,100 | $3.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8550 Boulevard E Unit 1D North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,200 | $3.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8450 Boulevard E Unit 3B North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,400 | $3.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7409 2nd Ave #1 North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $2,400 | $3.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8200 Boulevard East North Bergen, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1486 | $3,400 | $2.29 | 3d | 4 | 0.61mi |
| 2 Main St Unit D-503 Edgewater, NJ | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,200 | $3.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7111 Palisade Ave North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,850 | $3.07 | 25d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 7601 River Rd North Bergen, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1150 | $4,303 | $3.74 | 3d | 16 | 0.79mi |
| 310 70th St Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,850 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 401 70th St Unit 1R Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,900 | $3.62 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 140 71st St Unit 5 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 6810 Polk St West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $2,400 | $2.49 | 22d | 2 | 0.84mi |
| 116 71st St #14 Guttenberg, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 139 70th St Unit 3 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,775 | $3.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7012 Cottage Ave Unit 202 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7606 River Rd Unit 01 North Bergen, NJ | — | 1.0 | 600 | $3,130 | $5.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7650 River Rd Unit 935 North Bergen, NJ | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,800 | $4.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7650 River Rd Unit 921 North Bergen, NJ | — | 1.0 | 600 | $2,850 | $4.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 320 67th St Unit 2 West New York, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,400 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 74 69th St Unit 3B Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $2,050 | $3.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 78 69th St Unit 9A Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 110 68th St Apt 2E Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 520 Cliff St Fairview, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $2,400 | $2.67 | 3d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 6517 Durham Ave North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,400 | $3.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6710 Park Ave #203 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6710 Park Ave #205 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 60 68th St Unit 406 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 60 68th St Unit 505 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $2,550 | $3.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $289 · $3,468/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-04-17status Under Contract
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2026-03-19$220,000 Active
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2026-03-19historical
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2026-03-10price $249,999
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2026-03-09$270,000 Active
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2008-06-03soldstatus $150,000 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Excellent opportunity for buyers that commute to NYC . Great location, a block away from North Hudson Park. Nice building, fresh paint, three closets, outstanding kitchen conditions as well the apartment. Seller want to close ASAP. Make an Offer!!!
-
2008-03-20price $160,000 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Excellent opportunity for buyers that commute to NYC . Great location, a block away from North Hudson Park. Nice building, fresh paint, three closets, outstanding kitchen conditions as well the apartment. Seller want to close ASAP. Make an Offer!!!
-
2008-03-20historical 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Excellent opportunity for buyers that commute to NYC . Great location, a block away from North Hudson Park. Nice building, fresh paint, three closets, outstanding kitchen conditions as well the apartment. Seller want to close ASAP. Make an Offer!!!
-
2008-02-01$150,000 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Excellent opportunity for buyers that commute to NYC . Great location, a block away from North Hudson Park. Nice building, fresh paint, three closets, outstanding kitchen conditions as well the apartment. Seller want to close ASAP. Make an Offer!!!
-
2007-11-24historical
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2007-08-23$199,000
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2006-11-18soldstatus $130,000
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2006-10-25soldstatus $130,000
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2006-08-30historical
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2006-06-12$142,000
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2005-06-14soldstatus $130,000
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2005-06-10soldstatus $130,000
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2005-04-07historical
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2005-03-21$124,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,098 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,788 · $399/mo
- Expected delta
- +$690/yr (+$57/mo · 16.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,047
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$4,098
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,244
- − Management
- −$2,244
- − HOA
- −$3,468
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$3,830
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$919
- After-tax cash flow
- $566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bergen School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411460
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,275
- Composite
- 21.95/100
- National rank
- #8221
- State rank
- #393 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Fairview
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #4548
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hudson County · 718,323 people
- City population
- 15,099
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,250
- Household income
- $78,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3908.0
Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 771,834 people
- By 2030
- 818,028 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 907,866 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 994,480 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 1,163,301 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,254,703 · +62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 26% White 20% Asian 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 11% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 50% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hudson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.36%
- Current HPI
- 419.0283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.99%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+76.1% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — HCMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $220,000 HCMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $249,999 HCMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $270,000 HCMLS
- 2008-06-03 Sold (MLS) $150,000 HCMLS
- 2008-03-20 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2008-03-20 Price Changed $160,000 HCMLS
- 2008-02-01 Listed $150,000 HCMLS
- 2007-11-24 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2007-08-23 Listed $199,000 HCMLS
- 2006-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-25 Sold (MLS) $130,000 HCMLS
- 2006-08-30 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2006-06-12 Listed $142,000 HCMLS
- 2005-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-10 Sold (MLS) $130,000 HCMLS
- 2005-04-07 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2005-03-21 Listed $124,900 HCMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2020): $4,098 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…