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409 W Magnolia St
B- Composite 66.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$29,900

409 W Magnolia St · Fitzgerald, GA 31750
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,454 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 419 Days on market
Built 1955 0.31 ac lot $21/sqft · 75% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

Key facts

  • 0.31 acre lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 419 days

Tags

PRIME LOCATION NEAR DOWNTOWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.8% vs local median 5.0% in Fitzgerald — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#513 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Ben Hill County (rural): math 19% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #145 of 174 in GA (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Ben Hill County Primary School (864 students, 89% FRL); Ben Hill County Middle School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 687 students, 89% FRL); Fitzgerald High School School College And Career Academy (math 20% / reading 12%, grade F, #287 of 424 statewide, top 68%, 861 students, 65% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Ben Hill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ben Hill County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 419 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $30k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 96% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $26,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 419 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.84%
Cap rate
34.83%
Cash-on-cash
101.91%
DSCR
5.53
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$120,335
List price
$29,900
Delta
-75.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
609 W Pine St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,414 (-3%) 1mo $185,000 $131 86
301 W Jessamine St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,496 (+3%) 0mo $160,000 $107 84
110 S Longstreet St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+7%) 13mo $178,000 $114 72
606 W Suwanee St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,399 (-4%) 1mo $77,900 $56 71
321 W Magnolia St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,290 (-11%) 10mo $139,900 $108 70
402 S Lee St 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,532 (+5%) 13mo $76,500 $50 68
509 W Jessamine St 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,648 (+13%) 5mo $100,594 $61 67
416 W Orange St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,585 (+9%) 10mo $130,000 $82 65
502 W Magnolia St 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,246 (-14%) 13mo $179,000 $144 63
112 Perry House Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,332 (-8%) 7mo $159,900 $120 54
137 Atlantic Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,422 (-2%) 6mo $170,000 $120 54
121 Brunswick Ave 0.56mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,309 (-10%) 10mo $122,000 $93 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$40,450
Equity at exit
$4,458
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.18×
Total profit
$93,579
Equity at exit
$2,585

Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31750

Home prices YoY
-8.0%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$27 /mo · $329/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $249
Max offer price $29,900
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $728 -5% $719 +0% $711 +5% $703 +10% $694
Rent -10% $620 -5% $666 +0% $711 +5% $756 +10% $802
Rate -1.0pp $726 -0.5pp $719 base $711 +0.5pp $703 +1.0pp $695

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,475
Closing costs
$897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
160 Wilson Ave Fitzgerald, GA 2.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 1066 $1,149 $1.08 45d 4 1.28mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $29,900 Active 419 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $29,900 Active 418 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $29,900 Active 416 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $29,900 Active 415 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $29,900 Active 414 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $29,900 Active 413 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $29,900 Active 411 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $29,900 Active 410 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $29,900 Active 407 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $29,900 Active 406 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 405 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $29,900 Active 404 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $29,900 Active 401 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $29,900 Active 400 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,900 Active 399 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 398 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,900 Active 397 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    status Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

  19. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Under Contract 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

  20. 2026-04-11
    price $29,900 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

  21. 2026-01-23
    status Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

  22. 2026-01-12
    historical Active Under Contract 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

  23. 2025-04-28
    listed $34,900 Active 539-char remark
    Show marketing remark (539 chars)

    Opportunity knocks at 409 West Magnolia St. in Fitzgerald! This charming 1,454 sq ft Craftsman fixer-upper is packed with potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor or a DIY enthusiast, this home offers the perfect canvas to renovate and build equity. Prime location near downtown Fitzgerald means convenience and charm are right at your doorstep. Update it to create your dream home or a profitable rental property. If you're good with a hammer and nail, don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough shine!

  24. 2024-07-03
    soldstatus $18,000 Closed 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great opportunity for someone who is looking for a fixer upper! Buyers, invest and make it your own home or rent it. This house is in close proximity to downtown Fitzgerald and sits on 0.31-acre lot. Call for a showing today!

  25. 2024-05-21
    status Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great opportunity for someone who is looking for a fixer upper! Buyers, invest and make it your own home or rent it. This house is in close proximity to downtown Fitzgerald and sits on 0.31-acre lot. Call for a showing today!

  26. 2024-05-21
    price $25,000 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great opportunity for someone who is looking for a fixer upper! Buyers, invest and make it your own home or rent it. This house is in close proximity to downtown Fitzgerald and sits on 0.31-acre lot. Call for a showing today!

  27. 2024-04-30
    status Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great opportunity for someone who is looking for a fixer upper! Buyers, invest and make it your own home or rent it. This house is in close proximity to downtown Fitzgerald and sits on 0.31-acre lot. Call for a showing today!

  28. 2024-04-25
    historical Active Under Contract 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great opportunity for someone who is looking for a fixer upper! Buyers, invest and make it your own home or rent it. This house is in close proximity to downtown Fitzgerald and sits on 0.31-acre lot. Call for a showing today!

  29. 2024-04-25
    listed $30,000 Active 227-char remark
    Show marketing remark (227 chars)

    Great opportunity for someone who is looking for a fixer upper! Buyers, invest and make it your own home or rent it. This house is in close proximity to downtown Fitzgerald and sits on 0.31-acre lot. Call for a showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$329 · $27/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$329 · $27/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 96% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,788
− Mortgage interest
−$1,675
− Property taxes
−$329
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,103
− Management
−$1,103
− Depreciation
−$870
Taxable income
$8,558
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,054
After-tax cash flow
$6,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ben Hill County
NCES district ID
1300360
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$30,617
Composite
16.47/100
National rank
#9186
State rank
#145 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fitzgerald

Score
55/100
State rank
#513
US rank
#23277

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fitzgerald, GA
Population (ZIP)
18,582

Population outlook (Ben Hill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,426 people
By 2030
15,788 · -3.9%
By 2040
14,582 · -11.2%
By 2050
13,351 · -18.7%
By 2075
10,301 · -37.3%
By 2100
7,652 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Black 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ben Hill

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.0) · D 33.8% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -13.7pp · 2024: -32.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.0 2020: R+26.2 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+14.9 2008: R+13.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -17.36%
Current HPI
200.1257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted TBOR
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent TBOR
  • 2026-04-11 Price Changed $29,900 TBOR
  • 2026-01-23 Relisted TBOR
  • 2026-01-12 Contingent TBOR
  • 2025-04-28 Listed $34,900 TBOR
  • 2024-07-03 Sold (MLS) $18,000 TBOR
  • 2024-05-21 Relisted TBOR
  • 2024-05-21 Price Changed $25,000 TBOR
  • 2024-04-30 Relisted TBOR
  • 2024-04-25 Contingent TBOR
  • 2024-04-25 Listed $30,000 TBOR

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $329 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…