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3612 Evans To Locks Rd
B Composite 71.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

3612 Evans To Locks Rd · Martinez, GA 30907
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Other public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1999 0.55 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

SELLING AS IS! Great investment opportunity in a prime Martinez location! This property is located on Evans to Locks Road, just behind the highly desirable West Lake neighborhood, offering excellent convenience to Evans, Martinez, shopping, dining, schools, and major roadways

Key facts

  • Prime location
  • 0.55 acre lot
  • Built 1999

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYPRIME LOCATIONCONVENIENCE TO SHOPPINGCONVENIENCE TO DININGCONVENIENCE TO SCHOOLSCONVENIENCE TO MAJOR ROADWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Other utilities
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One level / single-story; Entry on main level; R4 zoning
  • Construction: Block and vinyl siding construction; Other roof type; Combination foundation; Built on a 0.55-acre lot (approx. 24,306 sq ft)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; No fencing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (other type); Has cooling with multiple units
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Has a view

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $841 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 4.6% in Martinez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#23 in GA, #3,514 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Stevens Creek Elementary School (math 72% / reading 70%, grade A-, #52 of 1,228 statewide, top 4%, 839 students, 16% FRL); Stallings Island Middle School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A, #16 of 470 statewide, top 3%, 690 students, 17% FRL); Lakeside High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #162 of 424 statewide, top 40%, 1,940 students, 24% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 22% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
13.51%
Cash-on-cash
25.76%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$26,917
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
2.96×
Total profit
$76,676
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30907

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $514/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$841

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,057
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
600 Grand Oaks Way Martinez, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1118 $2,833 $2.53 14d 23 0.95mi
104 Bens Pl Unit 104 Martinez, GA 3.0 3.0 1495 $1,850 $1.24 43d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $140,000 Pending 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 276-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 261-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $140,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$514 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,288 · $107/mo
Expected delta
+$774/yr (+$64/mo · 150.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,471
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$514
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,038
− Management
−$2,038
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$8,266
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,984
After-tax cash flow
$8,114/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia County
NCES district ID
1301410
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,358
Composite
45.04/100
National rank
#2695
State rank
#13 of 174 in GA

Livability — Martinez

Score
76/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#3514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Martinez, GA
County
Columbia County · 154,184 people
City population
46,975
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
46,975
Household income
$81,912
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
983.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,073 people
By 2030
212,277 · +12.3%
By 2040
259,480 · +37.2%
By 2050
306,991 · +62.4%
By 2075
421,213 · +122.8%
By 2100
496,722 · +162.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 13% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
2008→2024 swing
+17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.93%
Current HPI
233.5167
Rent YoY
▲ 1.12%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $140,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $130,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $115,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+44.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $514 · +103.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…