305 E North St · Mulberry Grove, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Are you looking for quiet, peaceful living in a maintenance free home? Look no further. This former pole barn has been converted into a cute and cozy one bedroom, one bath home. A two-car garage has plenty of space for working on projects or storage. The eat-in kitchen is large with plenty of cabinet and counter space. All kitchen and laundry appliances stay. Propane tank and freezer do not convey.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2004
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No additional financial details provided
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA details provided
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Security: No security details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (other); Leased propane
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Built-year not provided
- Exterior features: Waterfront lot
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-76 ($-911/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (11.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (15.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $101k (15.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,127 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mulberry Grove CUSD 1 (rural): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #732 of 919 in IL (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mulberry Grove Elem School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 165 students, 0% FRL); Mulberry Grove Jr High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #510 of 665 statewide, top 78%, 78 students, 0% FRL); Mulberry Grove Sr High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 111 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Bond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
- Bond County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.71%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,772
- List price
- $120,000
- Delta
- -3.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 N Church St | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,121 (-7%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $76 | 75 |
| 407 N Wood | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,085 (-10%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 1894 Old Park Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,220 (+2%) | 22mo | $230,000 | $189 | 45 |
| 303 E South St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-10%) | 10mo | $118,500 | $110 | 45 |
| 103 S 4th St | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-12%) | 21mo | $44,500 | $42 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $10,548
- Equity at exit
- $54,900
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $43,314
- Equity at exit
- $85,347
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62262
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,344/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $-76
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-8 | -5% $-42 | +0% $-76 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-144 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-116 | +0% $-76 | +5% $-36 | +10% $4 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-16 | -0.5pp $-45 | base $-76 | +0.5pp $-107 | +1.0pp $-139 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-27$120,000 Active 930-char remark
-
2026-04-27historical $120,000 930-char remark
-
2023-10-31soldstatus Closed 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Are you looking for quiet, peaceful living in a maintenance free home? Look no further. This former pole barn has been converted into a cute and cozy one bedroom, one bath home. A two-car garage has plenty of space for working on projects or storage. The eat-in kitchen is large with plenty of cabinet and counter space. All kitchen and laundry appliances stay. Propane tank and freezer do not convey.
-
2023-10-31soldstatus $112,000
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Are you looking for quiet, peaceful living in a maintenance free home? Look no further. This former pole barn has been converted into a cute and cozy one bedroom, one bath home. A two-car garage has plenty of space for working on projects or storage. The eat-in kitchen is large with plenty of cabinet and counter space. All kitchen and laundry appliances stay. Propane tank and freezer do not convey.
-
2023-09-19status Pending 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Are you looking for quiet, peaceful living in a maintenance free home? Look no further. This former pole barn has been converted into a cute and cozy one bedroom, one bath home. A two-car garage has plenty of space for working on projects or storage. The eat-in kitchen is large with plenty of cabinet and counter space. All kitchen and laundry appliances stay. Propane tank and freezer do not convey.
-
2023-09-06$109,900 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Are you looking for quiet, peaceful living in a maintenance free home? Look no further. This former pole barn has been converted into a cute and cozy one bedroom, one bath home. A two-car garage has plenty of space for working on projects or storage. The eat-in kitchen is large with plenty of cabinet and counter space. All kitchen and laundry appliances stay. Propane tank and freezer do not convey.
-
2023-08-28historical $109,900 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
Are you looking for quiet, peaceful living in a maintenance free home? Look no further. This former pole barn has been converted into a cute and cozy one bedroom, one bath home. A two-car garage has plenty of space for working on projects or storage. The eat-in kitchen is large with plenty of cabinet and counter space. All kitchen and laundry appliances stay. Propane tank and freezer do not convey.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,344 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,534 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$190/yr (+$16/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,132
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$2,344
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$971
- − Management
- −$971
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable loss
- −$2,966
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$712
- After-tax cash flow
- $-199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mulberry Grove CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1727450
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,252
- Composite
- 19.32/100
- National rank
- #13954
- State rank
- #732 of 919 in IL
Livability — Mulberry Grove
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1127
- US rank
- #21267
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mulberry Grove, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,887
Population outlook (Bond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,651 people
- By 2030
- 15,008 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 13,490 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 12,002 · -23.3%
- By 2075
- 9,019 · -42.4%
- By 2100
- 6,539 · -58.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bond
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.5% · R 71.3% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.5pp toward R · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.14%
- Current HPI
- 133.1925
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+9.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2023-10-31 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-19 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-06 Listed $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-28 Coming Soon $109,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2024): $2,344 · +244.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…