108 W 138th St Unit 2C · New York, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Cash flow +4.6/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Strivers' Row Gem: Sophisticated Urban Living Discover refined living in this meticulously renovated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence nestled in the heart of historic Strivers' Row. North-facing exposures flood the home with natural light throughout. This thoughtfully designed home showcases hardwood flooring, smart proportioning, and an intuitive layout that maximizes flow. The serene primary suite features a generous walk-in closet, while custom dimmers throughout create the perfect ambiance for any moment. The queen-sized guest bedroom is equally inviting-ideal for visitors or a peaceful home office retreat. The heart of this home is a chef's kitchen, appointed with premium stainless
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Walk-in closet
- In-unit laundry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Building has 15 total units; Pets allowed in building
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $1,051; Building amenities include elevator(s) and storage
Exterior
- Utilities: Central air conditioning
- Home design: Condominium (Odell Clark Place Condos); 6-story building
- Exterior features: Building courtyard; North exposure; Has a view; Entry at level 1
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Dining area; High ceilings; Walk-in closets; Has basement (other type)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer/dryer allowed in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $442k (36.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $520k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $442k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,198/mo this rent would consume 157% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 4110% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $61k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $56k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
- New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$98k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($689k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 20% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.88%
- DSCR
- 0.52
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.05% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $205,168
- Equity at exit
- $533,260
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $750,058
- Equity at exit
- $1,060,632
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10030
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,198 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$874 /mo · $10,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$1,051
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,092
- Net cashflow
- $-1,775
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 W 134th St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $4,500 | $6.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2413 3rd Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $3,948 | $4.60 | 12d | 23 | 0.52mi |
| 300 W 135th St Unit 9G New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $5,500 | $5.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5 Lincoln Ave Bronx, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1011 | $5,134 | $5.08 | 2d | 183 | 0.63mi |
| 230 W 126th St Unit 20C New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $4,555 | $5.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 241 Lenox Ave #1 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $8,000 | $6.81 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 52 Convent Ave Unit 30 New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $7,500 | $5.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 508 Manhattan Ave Unit 2C New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 4C New York, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $4,854 | $5.39 | 8d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 312 W 121st St Unit 5-A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,655 | $5.82 | 12d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 506 Manhattan Ave Unit 1A New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $4,699 | $5.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 543 W 122nd St New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1057 | $10,995 | $10.40 | 2d | 7 | 1.22mi |
| 543 W 122nd St Unit 27C New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1313 | $10,995 | $8.37 | 10d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 61 Malcolm X Blvd New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $4,795 | $3.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 77 E 110th St Unit 1322508P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 990 | $6,360 | $6.42 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 30 Morningside Dr #2096 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $9,000 | $11.53 | 4d | 2 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,051 · $12,612/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $699,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $699,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $699,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $62,378
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$10,485
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,990
- − Management
- −$4,990
- − HOA
- −$12,612
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable loss
- −$33,684
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $-13,217/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- New York County · 1,599,927 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,297
- Household income
- $39,802
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4110.0
Population outlook (New York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,825,725 people
- By 2030
- 1,904,611 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 2,052,719 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 2,206,601 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 2,509,427 · +37.4%
- By 2100
- 2,702,933 · +48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · New York
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 82.4% · R 17.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 72.2pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+74.5 2016: D+77.2 2012: D+69.6 2008: D+72.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.05%
- Current HPI
- 354.2971
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.84%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+74.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $699,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2017-10-23 Listed $745,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2013-02-25 Price Changed $405,000 RLS at REBNY
- 2011-01-22 Listed $400,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…