205 Ida St · Fullerton, NE
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1975
- Listed 117 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#157 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Fullerton Public Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #117 of 245 in NE (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Fullerton Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #233 of 502 statewide, top 52%, 164 students, 30% FRL); Fullerton High School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #176 of 261 statewide, top 68%, 135 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Nance County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($650 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
- Nance County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $94k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.05%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $50,364
- Equity at exit
- $68,851
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.16×
- Total profit
- $135,705
- Equity at exit
- $134,293
Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68638
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$493
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,397/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $220
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $247 | +0% $220 | +5% $194 | +10% $167 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $133 | -5% $177 | +0% $220 | +5% $264 | +10% $307 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $268 | -0.5pp $244 | base $220 | +0.5pp $196 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,500
- Closing costs
- $2,820
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-21days on market $94,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $94,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-02-23$99,000 Active
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2024-02-09soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,397 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,626 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- +$229/yr (+$19/mo · 16.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,199
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,265
- − Property taxes
- −$1,397
- − Insurance
- −$470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$2,735
- Taxable income
- $1,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$293
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fullerton Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100091
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,717
- Composite
- 47.93/100
- National rank
- #4828
- State rank
- #117 of 245 in NE
Livability — Fullerton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #157
- US rank
- #5637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fullerton, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,810
Population outlook (Nance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,425 people
- By 2030
- 3,330 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 3,165 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 3,004 · -12.3%
- By 2075
- 2,787 · -18.6%
- By 2100
- 2,559 · -25.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 25% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nance
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.4) · D 19.2% · R 79.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.2pp toward R · 2008: -33.2pp · 2024: -60.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.4 2020: R+58.8 2016: R+61.1 2012: R+38.7 2008: R+33.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.60%
- Current HPI
- 178.5145
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+209.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-23 Listed $99,000 NNEMLS
- 2024-02-09 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,397 · -3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…