502 Timberlane Ct · Lake Mary, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nicely appointed and very clean 2/2 on quiet cul-de-sac. Large front corner kitchen with lots of counter space and eat-in area. Formal living and dining rooms and Florida room on the front. This home is set up to entertain friends or just escape from the hustle and bustle of the busy world. Large master suite with dressing area. Second bedroom is also large and can accommodate large furniture. Both bedrooms have walk in closets. This home is truly turn key ready. Fresh paint on exterior and roof recently re-coated. Storage area in carport. If you are looking for a low maintenance life style, this home offers it. The community is user friendly with many nice amenities including two sparkling refreshing swimming pools. One is heated year round. Enjoy socializing with your friends and neighbors in the huge hot tub. Play tennis, shuffleboard or cards anytime. Take part in the monthly pot luck dinners, dances on major holidays, weekly bingo and more. Take day trips together or cruise the Caribbean. Store your boat or RV at no extra charge. The community is gated and close to all of life's conveniences. You are surrounded by restaurants, the post office, shopping, the mall and I-4 and yet when you enter the Forest, you enter a peaceful oasis that is quiet and welcoming. You'd never know there are 313 homes here because it is so serene. It's all here waiting for you. Enjoy this low cost lifestyle. All you have to do is come take a look. You will want to live here. Welcome home!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Florida room
- Large workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private maintained asphalt road; Approximate living area 1,212 square feet
- HOA & community: HOA required (monthly fee $232.75) managed by Bono Management; HOA includes cable TV, internet, and trash; Community features: clubhouse, community mailbox, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, pool, tennis courts, street lights; Senior community; Pets allowed (max ~40 lbs); Community amenities include pickleball, shuffleboard, sauna, spa/hot tub, storage, trails
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces east
- Construction: Metal siding; Other roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as manufactured home
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storage; Mature landscaping; Cul-de-sac lot; Level lot; Paved; City limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan; Florida room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room (other features)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-47/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (0.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.3% in Lake Mary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#128 in FL, #1,923 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living D-.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Crystal Lake Elementary School (math 59% / reading 69%, grade B, #552 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 700 students, 48% FRL); Millennium Middle School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D+, #291 of 571 statewide, top 52%, 1,347 students, 70% FRL); Seminole High School (math 35% / reading 51%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 4,036 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 57% FRL vs 38% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $80k; list at $219k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $218,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 E Plantation Blvd | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,227 (+1%) | 10mo | $193,000 | $157 | 88 |
| 606 Timberlane Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $200 | 84 |
| 203 N Forest Blvd | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,180 (-3%) | 7mo | $138,200 | $117 | 81 |
| 242 Peppertree Ct | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,260 (+4%) | 12mo | $249,000 | $198 | 80 |
| 410 N Niblick Ln | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 10mo | $245,000 | $204 | 79 |
| 774 Pond View Ct | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,275 (+5%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $196 | 78 |
| 311 N Forest Blvd | 0.21mi | 2/2.0 | 1,134 (-6%) | 4mo | $100,000 | $88 | 76 |
| 144 E Plantation Blvd | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,341 (+11%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $175 | 76 |
| 114 E Plantation Blvd | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 | 1,374 (+13%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $156 | 66 |
| 412 N Niblick Ln | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,044 (-14%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $192 | 65 |
| 116 E Plantation Blvd | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 1,359 (+12%) | 11mo | $245,000 | $180 | 63 |
| 616 Woodland Ct | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (+11%) | 10mo | $213,000 | $158 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-39,495
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-49,529
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32746
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,924 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $623/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$232
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $-4
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $58 | +0% $-4 | +5% $-66 | +10% $-128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-80 | +0% $-4 | +5% $72 | +10% $148 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $106 | -0.5pp $52 | base $-4 | +0.5pp $-61 | +1.0pp $-118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252 Wheelhouse Ln Lake Mary, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $2,738 | $2.62 | 0d | 13 | 0.53mi |
| 780 Creekwater Ter Lake Mary, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,665 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1000 Regal Pointe Ter Lake Mary, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $1,857 | $1.85 | 0d | 18 | 0.83mi |
| 165 W Crystal Lake Ave Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,700 | $2.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 962 Bentstation Ln Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,372 | $2.00 | 0d | 4 | 1.07mi |
| 937 Birmingham Ct Lake Mary, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,050 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 226 S 4th St Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,420 | $1.82 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 938 Framlingham Ct #206 Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 949 Bird Bay Ct #201 Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 722 | $1,599 | $2.21 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 291 Ruskin St Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 981 | $1,395 | $1.42 | 6d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 700 Oakland Hills Cir Lake Mary, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1128 | $2,182 | $1.93 | 0d | 16 | 1.25mi |
| 284 Short St Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $1,300 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 251 S 3rd St Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 188 E Crystal Lake Ave Lake Mary, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,870 | $1.97 | 0d | 7 | 1.33mi |
| 279 S 3rd St Unit 279 Lake Mary, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 6d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 715 Camarague Pl Lake Mary, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $2,052 | $2.00 | 0d | 20 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $232 · $2,784/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $219,000 Pending 126 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $219,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $219,000
-
2026-03-22price $224,000
-
2026-02-10$238,000 Active
-
2015-05-04soldstatus $80,000
-
2015-05-01soldstatus $80,000 Sold 1495-char remark
Show marketing remark (1495 chars)
Nicely appointed and very clean 2/2 on quiet cul-de-sac. Large front corner kitchen with lots of counter space and eat-in area. Formal living and dining rooms and Florida room on the front. This home is set up to entertain friends or just escape from the hustle and bustle of the busy world. Large master suite with dressing area. Second bedroom is also large and can accommodate large furniture. Both bedrooms have walk in closets. This home is truly turn key ready. Fresh paint on exterior and roof recently re-coated. Storage area in carport. If you are looking for a low maintenance life style, this home offers it. The community is user friendly with many nice amenities including two sparkling refreshing swimming pools. One is heated year round. Enjoy socializing with your friends and neighbors in the huge hot tub. Play tennis, shuffleboard or cards anytime. Take part in the monthly pot luck dinners, dances on major holidays, weekly bingo and more. Take day trips together or cruise the Caribbean. Store your boat or RV at no extra charge. The community is gated and close to all of life's conveniences. You are surrounded by restaurants, the post office, shopping, the mall and I-4 and yet when you enter the Forest, you enter a peaceful oasis that is quiet and welcoming. You'd never know there are 313 homes here because it is so serene. It's all here waiting for you. Enjoy this low cost lifestyle. All you have to do is come take a look. You will want to live here. Welcome home!
-
2015-03-14status Pending 1495-char remark
Show marketing remark (1495 chars)
Nicely appointed and very clean 2/2 on quiet cul-de-sac. Large front corner kitchen with lots of counter space and eat-in area. Formal living and dining rooms and Florida room on the front. This home is set up to entertain friends or just escape from the hustle and bustle of the busy world. Large master suite with dressing area. Second bedroom is also large and can accommodate large furniture. Both bedrooms have walk in closets. This home is truly turn key ready. Fresh paint on exterior and roof recently re-coated. Storage area in carport. If you are looking for a low maintenance life style, this home offers it. The community is user friendly with many nice amenities including two sparkling refreshing swimming pools. One is heated year round. Enjoy socializing with your friends and neighbors in the huge hot tub. Play tennis, shuffleboard or cards anytime. Take part in the monthly pot luck dinners, dances on major holidays, weekly bingo and more. Take day trips together or cruise the Caribbean. Store your boat or RV at no extra charge. The community is gated and close to all of life's conveniences. You are surrounded by restaurants, the post office, shopping, the mall and I-4 and yet when you enter the Forest, you enter a peaceful oasis that is quiet and welcoming. You'd never know there are 313 homes here because it is so serene. It's all here waiting for you. Enjoy this low cost lifestyle. All you have to do is come take a look. You will want to live here. Welcome home!
-
2015-03-07$82,700 Active 1495-char remark
Show marketing remark (1495 chars)
Nicely appointed and very clean 2/2 on quiet cul-de-sac. Large front corner kitchen with lots of counter space and eat-in area. Formal living and dining rooms and Florida room on the front. This home is set up to entertain friends or just escape from the hustle and bustle of the busy world. Large master suite with dressing area. Second bedroom is also large and can accommodate large furniture. Both bedrooms have walk in closets. This home is truly turn key ready. Fresh paint on exterior and roof recently re-coated. Storage area in carport. If you are looking for a low maintenance life style, this home offers it. The community is user friendly with many nice amenities including two sparkling refreshing swimming pools. One is heated year round. Enjoy socializing with your friends and neighbors in the huge hot tub. Play tennis, shuffleboard or cards anytime. Take part in the monthly pot luck dinners, dances on major holidays, weekly bingo and more. Take day trips together or cruise the Caribbean. Store your boat or RV at no extra charge. The community is gated and close to all of life's conveniences. You are surrounded by restaurants, the post office, shopping, the mall and I-4 and yet when you enter the Forest, you enter a peaceful oasis that is quiet and welcoming. You'd never know there are 313 homes here because it is so serene. It's all here waiting for you. Enjoy this low cost lifestyle. All you have to do is come take a look. You will want to live here. Welcome home!
-
2013-04-19soldstatus $74,000
-
2013-04-15soldstatus $74,000 917-char remark
Show marketing remark (917 chars)
Investors'dream! Beautiful wooded unique 55+ comunity in Lake Mary. This lovely 2/2 home is in great shape - Light and bright and comes with a 5 year tenant paying $825 monthly with an excellent payment record. (7 month lease with 30 day notice) Newer roof and AC. Large open kitchen with huge bay window, lots of cupboard and counter space, and all appliances are included even the washer and dryer. The master bedroom has a bay window and walkin closet. The second bedroom also has a walkin closet. Beautiful sunroom. HOA fee is only $139 - has actually gone DOWN due to excellent management and involved community - includes maintenance on both pools, tennis courts, fitness center, large clubhouse, grounds, gate, security, and units are cable-ready. The residents can enjoy participating in the calendar of events or just relax in the lovely wooded environment. The Forest is simple elegant living at its finest!
-
2013-02-23$79,900 917-char remark
Show marketing remark (917 chars)
Investors'dream! Beautiful wooded unique 55+ comunity in Lake Mary. This lovely 2/2 home is in great shape - Light and bright and comes with a 5 year tenant paying $825 monthly with an excellent payment record. (7 month lease with 30 day notice) Newer roof and AC. Large open kitchen with huge bay window, lots of cupboard and counter space, and all appliances are included even the washer and dryer. The master bedroom has a bay window and walkin closet. The second bedroom also has a walkin closet. Beautiful sunroom. HOA fee is only $139 - has actually gone DOWN due to excellent management and involved community - includes maintenance on both pools, tennis courts, fitness center, large clubhouse, grounds, gate, security, and units are cable-ready. The residents can enjoy participating in the calendar of events or just relax in the lovely wooded environment. The Forest is simple elegant living at its finest!
-
1995-09-28soldstatus $55,000
-
1980-05-01soldstatus $8,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $623 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,818 · $151/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,194/yr (+$100/mo · 191.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,085
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$623
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,847
- − Management
- −$1,847
- − HOA
- −$2,784
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$3,749
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$900
- After-tax cash flow
- $853/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake Mary
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #128
- US rank
- #1923
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Mary, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 46,684
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,684
- Household income
- $104,775
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1929.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 9% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.09%
- Current HPI
- 274.7765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+2446.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $219,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-22 Price Changed $224,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Listed $238,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-01 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-14 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-07 Listed $82,700 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 2013-04-15 Sold (MLS) $74,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-02-23 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,600 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $623 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…