3511 Lakin Ave · Great Bend, KS 67530

$64,900

2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,004 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market

Built 1938 9,583 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.5/30.0
• DSCR +9.6/10.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Wood flooring
• Rec room
• Large backyard

Tags

• WOOD FLOORING
• EAT-IN KITCHEN
• MAIN FLOOR LAUNDRY
• FULL BASEMENT
• REC ROOM
• LARGE BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Paved road access

Interior

• Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, one on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; No central cooling
• Interior features: Gas water heater; Finished full basement; One fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($933 rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#138 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Great Bend (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #124 of 169 in KS (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Barton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Barton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $63,926 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.68%
• DSCR: 1.56
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 2.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.10×
• Total profit: $1,785
• Equity at exit: $9,677

10-year hold

• IRR: 12.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.97×
• Total profit: $17,598
• Equity at exit: $5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kansas: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 67530

• Active inventory: 151
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $933 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$340
• Tax from tax record: −$178 /mo · $2,137/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$196
• Net cashflow: $192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $690

Max offer price $64,900

Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,225
• Closing costs: $1,947
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-19
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-01
   listed $64,900 Active
3. 2009-05-18
   listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,137 · $178/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,137 · $178/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,202
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,635
• − Property taxes: −$2,137
• − Insurance: −$324
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$896
• − Management: −$896
• − Depreciation: −$1,888
• Taxable income: $1,425
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$342
• After-tax cash flow: $1,962/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Great Bend
• NCES district ID: 2006660
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $43,027
• Composite: 23.45/100
• National rank: #7883
• State rank: #124 of 169 in KS

Livability — Great Bend

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #138
• US rank: #6794

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Great Bend, KS
• City population: 17,979
• Population (ZIP): 17,979

Population outlook (Barton County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 26,088 people
• By 2030: 25,418 · -2.6%
• By 2040: 24,010 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 22,719 · -12.9%
• By 2075: 20,690 · -20.7%
• By 2100: 18,869 · -27.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 14% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Barton

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+56.8) · D 20.9% · R 77.6% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.4pp toward R · 2008: -43.3pp · 2024: -56.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+56.8 2020: R+56.4 2016: R+58.9 2012: R+53.6 2008: R+43.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -105.50%
• Current HPI: 151.6054
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+8.3% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Pending — MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2026-05-01 Listed $64,900 MKMLS as distributed by MLS GRID
• 2009-05-18 Listed $59,900 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,137 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.