3606 W Hughes Pl Pl · Sioux Falls, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Open concept kitchen
- Private bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with $12 monthly fee; HOA provides snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage (approx. 23 x 22)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public power (standard connections)
- Home design: Townhouse; Split foyer style; Entry levels include main and lower (split foyer)
- Construction: Brick and hard board exterior; Poured foundation; Composition roof; Below-grade finished area and additional unfinished space in basement
- Exterior features: Garden; Fencing (other type); Deck accessed from living room
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level with window and vaulted ceiling; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Main-level master bedroom with walk-in closet, ceiling fan, and vaulted ceiling (approx. 14 x 14); Main-level second bedroom with double closet (approx. 12 x 12); Basement bedroom with closet and egress (approx. 10 x 13); Basement bedroom with double closet (approx. 11 x 15); Basement bedroom with double closet (approx. 15 x 11)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air
- Interior features: Master bathroom; Main floor laundry; Vaulted ceilings; Sliders to deck; New bedroom added; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry; Washer; Dryer; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $315k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-271 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $267k (15.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (26.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in Sioux Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Harrisburg School District 41-2 (rural): math 53% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #6 of 59 in SD (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg North Middle School - 08 (math 55% / reading 69%, grade B+, #13 of 143 statewide, top 11%, 747 students, 11% FRL); Harrisburg High School - 01 (math 33% / reading 60%, grade D-, #109 of 151 statewide, top 72%, 1,613 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 327 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 232 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.68%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $333,319
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- 0.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7204 S Bitterroot Ct | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,361 (+1%) | 10mo | $400,000 | $169 | 71 |
| 3606 W Hughes Pl | 0.00mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,170 (-7%) | 15mo | $304,900 | $141 | 71 |
| 3513 W Hughes Pl | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,225 (-5%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $128 | 64 |
| 7603 S Peregrine Pl | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,435 (+4%) | 23mo | $335,000 | $138 | 60 |
| 3603 W 93rd St St | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 | 2,486 (+6%) | 2mo | $339,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 3703 W 93rd St St | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,241 (-4%) | 3mo | $335,000 | $149 | 54 |
| 7922 S PASQUEFLOWER Ln | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,228 (-5%) | 13mo | $458,800 | $206 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-60,082
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- -5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-38,425
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57108
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 327
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax from tax record
- −$303 /mo · $3,642/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$12
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $-271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-92 | -5% $-181 | +0% $-271 | +5% $-360 | +10% $-449 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-453 | -5% $-362 | +0% $-271 | +5% $-179 | +10% $-88 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-112 | -0.5pp $-190 | base $-271 | +0.5pp $-352 | +1.0pp $-435 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $12 · $144/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $315,000 Pending 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $315,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $315,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $315,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $315,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $315,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $315,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $330,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $330,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-15$335,000 Active 830-char remark
-
2025-04-04status Pending 914-char remark
-
2025-04-03soldstatus $304,900 Sold 914-char remark
-
2025-03-12historical $2,895
-
2025-03-09$2,895
-
2025-03-06historical Active - Contingent Misc 914-char remark
-
2025-03-05$304,900 Active - New 914-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,642 · $303/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,126 · $344/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 13.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$3,642
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,221
- − Management
- −$2,221
- − HOA
- −$144
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable loss
- −$8,845
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,123
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg School District 41-2
- NCES district ID
- 4631350
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $77,920
- Composite
- 52.05/100
- National rank
- #1632
- State rank
- #6 of 59 in SD
Livability — Sioux Falls
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #610
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux Falls, SD
- County
- Lincoln County · 52,465 people
- City population
- 207,623
- Metro
- Sioux Falls, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,966
- Household income
- $98,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 779.0
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,138 people
- By 2030
- 78,929 · +12.5%
- By 2040
- 97,132 · +38.5%
- By 2050
- 116,136 · +65.6%
- By 2075
- 166,314 · +137.1%
- By 2100
- 219,430 · +212.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.5) · D 35.7% · R 62.2% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.2pp · 2024: -26.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.5 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+29.4 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.20%
- Current HPI
- 156.8728
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.41%
- Metro
- Sioux Falls, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
+3.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Pending — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-06-03 Listed $315,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-05-31 Price Changed $315,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-05-25 Listed $330,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2026-05-15 Listed $335,000 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-04-04 Pending — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-04-03 Sold (MLS) $304,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-03-12 Rental Removed $2,895 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-09 Listed for Rent $2,895 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-06 Contingent — REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
- 2025-03-05 Listed $304,900 REALTOR® Association of the Sioux Empire
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,642 · -12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…