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1483 Kentucky Ave
D+ Composite 46.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

1483 Kentucky Ave · Sanford, NC 27332
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,516 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2005 8,712 sqft lot Est $287k · 20% under $63/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Meticulously maintained ranch home that has been owner's second home for 10 years. Split, open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, two car attached garage & rear deck. Lovely tiled entry foyer that opens to living room with fireplace and hard wood floors. Easy flow to dining area with hardwood floors and tiled kitchen, offering double sinks, smooth top range, microwave, dishwasher and pantry

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Tile floors
  • 2yr old hvac

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSTILE FLOORSLIVING ROOM FIREPLACEBACK PATIO2YR OLD HVACGATED COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-46 ($-546/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (3.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#92 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime D-, commute F.
  • Lee County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #131 of 178 in NC (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Lee Middle (math 21% / reading 37%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 531 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 458 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 602 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $154k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,418 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
6.06%
Cash-on-cash
-0.85%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$286,524
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1401 Pennsylvania Ave 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,495 (-1%) 0mo $295,000 $197 86
1541 Louisiana Ln 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,498 (-1%) 11mo $276,100 $184 83
2114 Traceway S 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,504 (-1%) 11mo $285,000 $189 76
1534 Delaware Pl 0.10mi 3/2.5 1,655 (+9%) 4mo $335,000 $202 74
2142 Philadelphia St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,452 (-4%) 7mo $275,000 $189 65
2147 Detroit Blvd 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,610 (+6%) 5mo $330,000 $205 54
1030 Windrace Trl 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,674 (+10%) 2mo $285,000 $170 50
2194 Cleveland Cir 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,628 (+7%) 11mo $319,000 $196 47
990 Whistling Wind 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,672 (+10%) 5mo $265,000 $158 46
1051 Upland Reach 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,645 (+8%) 6mo $309,000 $188 46
903 Windrace Trl 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,389 (-8%) 9mo $250,650 $180 46
1021 N Windrace Trl 0.66mi 2/3.0 (-1) 1,648 (+9%) 7mo $255,000 $155 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.7%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-36,539
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-20,076
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27332

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
458
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,894 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,123/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$63
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$-46

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,952
Max offer price $221,960
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1963 Wedgewood Dr Sanford, NC 3.0 2.5 1763 $1,900 $1.08 23d 1 0.93mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$63 · $756/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $230,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $230,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $230,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $230,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $230,000 Active 19 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $230,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $230,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $230,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $230,000 Active 13 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $230,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $230,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $230,000 Active 8 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $230,000 Active 7 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $230,000 Active 6 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $230,000 Active 5 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $230,000 Active 4 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $230,000 Active 3 DOM
  18. 2026-05-27
    listed $230,000 Active
  19. 2016-04-15
    soldstatus $153,500 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Meticulously maintained ranch home that has been owner's second home for 10 years. Split, open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, two car attached garage & rear deck. Lovely tiled entry foyer that opens to living room with fireplace and hard wood floors. Easy flow to dining area with hardwood floors and tiled kitchen, offering double sinks, smooth top range, microwave, dishwasher and pantry

  20. 2016-04-15
    soldstatus $153,500 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Meticulously maintained ranch home that has been owner's second home for 10 years. Split, open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, two car attached garage & rear deck. Lovely tiled entry foyer that opens to living room with fireplace and hard wood floors. Easy flow to dining area with hardwood floors and tiled kitchen, offering double sinks, smooth top range, microwave, dishwasher and pantry

  21. 2016-04-15
    soldstatus $154,000
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Meticulously maintained ranch home that has been owner's second home for 10 years. Split, open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, two car attached garage & rear deck. Lovely tiled entry foyer that opens to living room with fireplace and hard wood floors. Easy flow to dining area with hardwood floors and tiled kitchen, offering double sinks, smooth top range, microwave, dishwasher and pantry

  22. 2016-03-01
    listed $157,750 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Meticulously maintained ranch home that has been owner's second home for 10 years. Split, open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, two car attached garage & rear deck. Lovely tiled entry foyer that opens to living room with fireplace and hard wood floors. Easy flow to dining area with hardwood floors and tiled kitchen, offering double sinks, smooth top range, microwave, dishwasher and pantry

  23. 2016-03-01
    listed $157,750 401-char remark
    Show marketing remark (401 chars)

    Meticulously maintained ranch home that has been owner's second home for 10 years. Split, open floor plan with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, two car attached garage & rear deck. Lovely tiled entry foyer that opens to living room with fireplace and hard wood floors. Easy flow to dining area with hardwood floors and tiled kitchen, offering double sinks, smooth top range, microwave, dishwasher and pantry

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,123 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,123 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,730
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$2,123
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,818
− Management
−$1,818
− HOA
−$756
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$4,510
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,082
After-tax cash flow
$536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee County Schools
NCES district ID
3702560
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,300
Composite
29.87/100
National rank
#6403
State rank
#131 of 178 in NC

Livability — Sanford

Score
72/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#6134

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lee County · 76,725 people
City population
76,725
Metro
Sanford, NC
Population (ZIP)
36,947
Household income
$78,447
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
632.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,008 people
By 2030
64,443 · +2.3%
By 2040
66,898 · +6.2%
By 2050
68,310 · +8.4%
By 2075
70,920 · +12.6%
By 2100
70,402 · +11.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 15%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
R (+17.5) · D 40.8% · R 58.3%
2008→2024 swing
-9.1pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -17.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.5 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+13.2 2012: R+10.2 2008: R+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.61%
Current HPI
252.2719
Rent YoY
▲ 4.87%
Metro
Sanford, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+45.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $230,000 TMLS
  • 2016-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $154,000 Public Records
  • 2016-04-15 Sold (MLS) $153,500 LPRMLS
  • 2016-04-15 Sold (MLS) $153,500 TMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $157,750 LPRMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Listed $157,750 TMLS

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,123 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…