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20009 Packard St Duplex
C+ Composite 62.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

20009 Packard St · Detroit, MI 48234
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,824 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1926 4,305 sqft lot Est $130k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Brick Duplex – Turnkey Investment or Owner-Occupied Opportunity! Welcome to 20009 - 20011 Packard, Detroit, MI 48234 – a fully renovated brick duplex offering two spacious 2-bedroom units, each with its own updated kitchen and bath. Fresh paint and brand-new carpet throughout create move-in-ready living spaces that feel bright, clean, and modern. Whether you're an investor looking for immediate rental income, a first-time buyer wanting to live in one unit while renting the other, or a family seeking extra space and flexibility, this property checks every box. Solid brick construction means low-maintenance durability, while the recent updates deliver instant appeal to today's tenants and buyers alike. Prime Detroit location, excellent condition, and strong income potential – this duplex is ready for its next chapter. Schedule your showing today and see why this one won't last!

Key facts

  • Updated bath
  • Updated kitchen
  • 4,305 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY RENOVATED BRICK DUPLEXUPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHSOLID BRICK CONSTRUCTIONMOVE-IN-READY LIVING SPACESPRIME DETROIT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 35 x 123; Zoned for multi-family
  • Financial info: Annual tax: $1,931

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Multi-family residential income property; Two-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Block foundation; Built area above grade: 1,824 (finished)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Pets allowed

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $975 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $488/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,442/mo this rent would consume 83% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 19 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $150k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,651 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.10%
Cash-on-cash
27.89%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,504
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19640 Stotter St 0.29mi 4/2.0 1,904 (+4%) 12mo $118,000 $62 67
20455 Spencer St 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,914 (+5%) 13mo $135,000 $71 66
8206 Rivard Ave 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,568 (-14%) 23mo $145,000 $92 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.0%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$47,303
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
35.8%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$163,138
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,442 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$105 /mo · $1,262/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$513
Net cashflow
$975

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,207
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,060 -5% $1,018 +0% $975 +5% $933 +10% $891
Rent -10% $783 -5% $879 +0% $975 +5% $1,072 +10% $1,168
Rate -1.0pp $1,051 -0.5pp $1,014 base $975 +0.5pp $937 +1.0pp $897

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 1232 $1,394 $1.13 44d 1 0.02mi
7044 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.5 1730 $1,700 $0.98 25d 1 1.02mi
7568 Hudson Ave Unit 1 Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,100 $0.78 5d 1 1.02mi
7584 Hudson Ave Warren, MI 5.0 1.0 1554 $1,800 $1.16 25d 1 1.02mi
20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1350 $1,450 $1.07 17d 1 1.04mi
18961 Teppert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 2015 $1,250 $0.62 13d 1 1.23mi
18947 Runyon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1614 $1,100 $0.68 44d 1 1.29mi
20290 Annott St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,250 $0.96 18d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $149,900 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-25
    listed $169,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (954 chars)

    Charming Brick Duplex – Turnkey Investment or Owner-Occupied Opportunity! Welcome to 20009 - 20011 Packard, Detroit, MI 48234 – a fully renovated brick duplex offering two spacious 2-bedroom units, each with its own updated kitchen and bath. Fresh paint and brand-new carpet throughout create move-in-ready living spaces that feel bright, clean, and modern. Whether you're an investor looking for immediate rental income, a first-time buyer wanting to live in one unit while renting the other, or a family seeking extra space and flexibility, this property checks every box. Solid brick construction means low-maintenance durability, while the recent updates deliver instant appeal to today's tenants and buyers alike. Prime Detroit location, excellent condition, and strong income potential – this duplex is ready for its next chapter. Schedule your showing today and see why this one won't last!

  15. 2026-05-25
    listed $169,000 Active 954-char remark
    Show marketing remark (954 chars)

    Charming Brick Duplex – Turnkey Investment or Owner-Occupied Opportunity! Welcome to 20009 - 20011 Packard, Detroit, MI 48234 – a fully renovated brick duplex offering two spacious 2-bedroom units, each with its own updated kitchen and bath. Fresh paint and brand-new carpet throughout create move-in-ready living spaces that feel bright, clean, and modern. Whether you're an investor looking for immediate rental income, a first-time buyer wanting to live in one unit while renting the other, or a family seeking extra space and flexibility, this property checks every box. Solid brick construction means low-maintenance durability, while the recent updates deliver instant appeal to today's tenants and buyers alike. Prime Detroit location, excellent condition, and strong income potential – this duplex is ready for its next chapter. Schedule your showing today and see why this one won't last!

  16. 2023-10-27
    historical
  17. 2023-10-27
    historical
  18. 2023-07-18
    price $109,900
  19. 2023-07-17
    price $109,900
  20. 2023-04-30
    listed $64,900 Active
  21. 2023-04-30
    listed $64,900 Active
  22. 2023-03-31
    historical
  23. 2023-03-31
    historical
  24. 2023-02-02
    price $59,500
  25. 2023-02-01
    price $59,500
  26. 2022-10-28
    listed $64,900 Active
  27. 2022-10-28
    listed $64,900 Active
  28. 2022-08-31
    historical
  29. 2022-08-31
    historical
  30. 2022-08-22
    price $59,900
  31. 2022-08-22
    price $59,900
  32. 2022-06-03
    price $64,000
  33. 2022-06-03
    price $64,000
  34. 2022-04-18
    listed $64,900 Active
  35. 2022-04-18
    listed $64,900 Active
  36. 2022-02-15
    historical
  37. 2022-02-15
    historical
  38. 2022-01-06
    price $59,000
  39. 2022-01-06
    price $59,000
  40. 2021-12-31
    status Active
  41. 2021-12-23
    historical
  42. 2021-12-07
    price $59,500
  43. 2021-12-06
    price $59,500
  44. 2021-11-09
    price $59,900
  45. 2021-11-08
    price $59,900
  46. 2021-09-22
    price $64,500
  47. 2021-09-22
    price $64,500
  48. 2021-08-03
    listed $64,900 Active
  49. 2021-08-03
    listed $64,900 Active
  50. 2021-07-01
    historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,262 · $105/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,785 · $149/mo
Expected delta
+$523/yr (+$44/mo · 41.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,304
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$1,262
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,344
− Management
−$2,344
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$9,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,363
After-tax cash flow
$9,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+412.1% since first listed
58 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $169,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $169,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-07-18 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-07-17 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-04-30 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-04-30 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-03-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-02-02 Price Changed $59,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-02-01 Price Changed $59,500 REALCOMP
  • 2022-10-28 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-10-28 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-08-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-22 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-08-22 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-06-03 Price Changed $64,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-03 Price Changed $64,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-18 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-18 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-02-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-06 Price Changed $59,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-01-06 Price Changed $59,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-31 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-23 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-07 Price Changed $59,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-12-06 Price Changed $59,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-09 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-08 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-09-22 Price Changed $64,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-09-22 Price Changed $64,500 REALCOMP
  • 2021-08-03 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-08-03 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-05-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-05-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-30 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-26 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-15 Price Changed $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-15 Price Changed $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-06 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-06 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-09-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-09-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2020-08-31 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-03 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-03 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-02 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-02 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-03-02 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2020-03-02 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2001-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
  • 2000-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,262 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…