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14620 Stewart Rd
D+ Composite 49.01
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$170,000

14620 Stewart Rd · Beggs, OK 74047
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 26 Days on market
Built 2005 6.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

Key facts

  • Outbuildings
  • Wooded acres
  • 6.57 acre lot

Tags

WOODED ACRESOUTBUILDINGSPRIVATE HUNTING PARADISE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Dirt driveway
  • Security: Owned security system; Storm shelter; Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
  • Home design: Manufactured double wide; Single-story; Faces south; Permanent foundation
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Dirt driveway; Satellite dish; Barn(s); Shed(s); Storage; Barbed wire fencing; Chain link fencing; Sloping topography; Rolling slope; Mature trees; Wooded; Ranch/farm setting; Horses allowed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceiling(s); Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Storm door(s); Storm windows; Vinyl windows; Electric oven connection; Electric range connection
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-103/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (0.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (23.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#326 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Twin Hills (rural): math 45% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 513 in OK (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,773 (23.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.23%
Cash-on-cash
-0.22%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.1%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$91,979
Equity at exit
$153,149
10-year hold
IRR
21.4%
Equity multiple
6.70×
Total profit
$271,169
Equity at exit
$330,273

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74047

Home prices YoY
8.6%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,308 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $952/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$275
Net cashflow
$-9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,319
Max offer price $168,488
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $88 -5% $40 +0% $-9 +5% $-57 +10% $-105
Rent -10% $-112 -5% $-60 +0% $-9 +5% $43 +10% $95
Rate -1.0pp $77 -0.5pp $35 base $-9 +0.5pp $-53 +1.0pp $-97

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $170,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $170,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $170,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $170,000 Active 18 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $170,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $170,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
  14. 2026-05-21
    listed $170,000 Active
  15. 2021-07-30
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  16. 2021-06-23
    status Pending 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  17. 2021-06-08
    price $129,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  18. 2021-06-01
    price $134,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  19. 2021-05-28
    status Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  20. 2021-04-19
    status Pending 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  21. 2021-04-17
    price $139,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  22. 2021-04-12
    price $148,900 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  23. 2021-04-09
    status Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  24. 2021-04-06
    status Pending 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  25. 2021-03-31
    listed $149,900 Active 362-char remark
    Show marketing remark (362 chars)

    Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.

  26. 2018-05-21
    historical
  27. 2018-02-20
    listed $90,000 Active
  28. 2003-09-22
    soldstatus $23,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$952 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,530 · $127/mo
Expected delta
+$578/yr (+$48/mo · 60.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,693
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$952
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,255
− Management
−$1,255
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable loss
−$3,088
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$741
After-tax cash flow
$638/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Twin Hills
NCES district ID
4030450
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$50,092
Composite
38.91/100
National rank
#8318
State rank
#73 of 513 in OK

Livability — Beggs

Score
60/100
State rank
#326
US rank
#18483

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,451

Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,543 people
By 2030
36,528 · -2.7%
By 2040
34,430 · -8.3%
By 2050
32,498 · -13.4%
By 2075
28,814 · -23.3%
By 2100
25,193 · -32.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 9% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.95%
Current HPI
277.4537
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+623.4% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $170,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-06-23 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-06-08 Price Changed $129,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-06-01 Price Changed $134,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-05-28 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-04-19 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-04-17 Price Changed $139,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-04-12 Price Changed $148,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-04-09 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-04-06 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2021-03-31 Listed $149,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-05-21 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2018-02-20 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2003-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $952 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…