14620 Stewart Rd · Beggs, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
Key facts
- Outbuildings
- Wooded acres
- 6.57 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Dirt driveway
- Security: Owned security system; Storm shelter; Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electricity available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured double wide; Single-story; Faces south; Permanent foundation
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Vinyl siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Dirt driveway; Satellite dish; Barn(s); Shed(s); Storage; Barbed wire fencing; Chain link fencing; Sloping topography; Rolling slope; Mature trees; Wooded; Ranch/farm setting; Horses allowed
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
- Interior features: High ceilings; Vaulted ceiling(s); Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Storm door(s); Storm windows; Vinyl windows; Electric oven connection; Electric range connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-103/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (0.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (23.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $131k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#326 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Twin Hills (rural): math 45% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #73 of 513 in OK (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.22%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $91,979
- Equity at exit
- $153,149
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.70×
- Total profit
- $271,169
- Equity at exit
- $330,273
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74047
- Home prices YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,308 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $952/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $-9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $88 | -5% $40 | +0% $-9 | +5% $-57 | +10% $-105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-112 | -5% $-60 | +0% $-9 | +5% $43 | +10% $95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $77 | -0.5pp $35 | base $-9 | +0.5pp $-53 | +1.0pp $-97 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $170,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-05-21$170,000 Active
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2021-07-30soldstatus $140,000 Closed 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-06-23status Pending 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-06-08price $129,900 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-06-01price $134,900 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-05-28status Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-04-19status Pending 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-04-17price $139,900 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
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2021-04-12price $148,900 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-04-09status Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-04-06status Pending 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
-
2021-03-31$149,900 Active 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (362 chars)
Private secluded quiet country living in the rural Oklahoma you have been looking for! 6.5 acres and a home in the woods under the stars. Escape to the hills with outbuildings for horses, goats, chickens and all the big boy toys. Country roads are pretty bumpy out here so bring your trucks and watch for all the wildlife in your own hunting paradise out back.
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2018-05-21historical
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2018-02-20$90,000 Active
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2003-09-22soldstatus $23,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $952 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,530 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- +$578/yr (+$48/mo · 60.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,693
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$952
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,255
- − Management
- −$1,255
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$3,088
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$741
- After-tax cash flow
- $638/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Hills
- NCES district ID
- 4030450
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,092
- Composite
- 38.91/100
- National rank
- #8318
- State rank
- #73 of 513 in OK
Livability — Beggs
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #326
- US rank
- #18483
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,451
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Native American 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.95%
- Current HPI
- 277.4537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+623.4% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $170,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-07-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-06-23 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-06-08 Price Changed $129,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-06-01 Price Changed $134,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-05-28 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-19 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-17 Price Changed $139,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-12 Price Changed $148,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-09 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-04-06 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2021-03-31 Listed $149,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-05-21 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-02-20 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $952 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…