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413 W Willow St
C+ Composite 61.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$89,900

413 W Willow St · Stilwell, OK 74960
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · Manufactured public records · 118 Days on market
Built 1995 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

Key facts

  • Walk to dining
  • Paved city street
  • Manageable acre lot

Tags

MANAGEABLE ACRE LOTPAVED CITY STREETWALK TO SHOPPINGWALK TO DININGWALK TO SCHOOLSLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story manufactured home; Double wide; Faces south
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Metal roof; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Porch

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $206 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#541 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Stilwell (town): math 6% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #258 of 270 in OK (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 30 units permitted in Adair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Adair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $90k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,809 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
9.04%
Cash-on-cash
9.80%
DSCR
1.44
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$19,923
Equity at exit
$36,206
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$57,655
Equity at exit
$52,718

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74960

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $433/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $690
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $256 -5% $231 +0% $206 +5% $180 +10% $155
Rent -10% $130 -5% $168 +0% $206 +5% $243 +10% $281
Rate -1.0pp $251 -0.5pp $228 base $206 +0.5pp $182 +1.0pp $159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
212 N 6th Pl Unit 212 Stilwell, OK 3.0 1.0 1200 $950 $0.79 22d 1 0.40mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $89,900 Active 118 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 113 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 104 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 100 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 99 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 98 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  17. 2026-05-08
    status Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  18. 2026-05-08
    status Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  19. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  20. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  21. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  22. 2026-03-25
    price $99,900 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  23. 2026-03-25
    price $99,900 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  24. 2026-03-25
    price $99,900
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  25. 2026-03-05
    price $109,000 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  26. 2026-03-05
    price $109,000 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  27. 2026-03-05
    price $109,000
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  28. 2026-02-04
    listed $119,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  29. 2026-02-04
    listed $119,000 Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  30. 2026-02-04
    listed $119,000 Active 593-char remark
    Show marketing remark (593 chars)

    Convenient in-town living in the heart of Stilwell! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,040 sq ft (per CH) and sits on a manageable . 26± acre lot on a paved city street. Enjoy the ability to walk to shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities while still having your own private space. The home features a large living room, city water, sewer, electric, and all appliances are included—making this a truly move-in-ready opportunity. Ideal for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors looking for a well-located property with city conveniences. Owner is a licensed Realtor.

  31. 2008-02-06
    soldstatus $25,000
  32. 1998-07-31
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$433 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$809 · $67/mo
Expected delta
+$376/yr (+$31/mo · 86.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,400
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$433
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,042
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$250
After-tax cash flow
$2,216/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stilwell
NCES district ID
4028710
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$28,414
Composite
6.71/100
National rank
#9985
State rank
#258 of 270 in OK

Livability — Stilwell

Score
55/100
State rank
#541
US rank
#23144

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stilwell, OK
Population (ZIP)
11,964

Population outlook (Adair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,805 people
By 2030
20,073 · -3.5%
By 2040
18,496 · -11.1%
By 2050
16,970 · -18.4%
By 2075
14,011 · -32.7%
By 2100
12,211 · -41.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.90)
Race & ethnicity
Native American 51% White 31% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Adair

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.0) · D 17.8% · R 80.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-24.3pp toward R · 2008: -38.7pp · 2024: -63.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.0 2020: R+59.1 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+34.8 2008: R+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.15%
Current HPI
223.6773
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.3% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted NWARMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted WRVBOR
  • 2026-04-21 Pending WRVBOR
  • 2026-04-21 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $99,900 WRVBOR
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $99,900 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $99,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $109,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $109,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $109,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $119,000 WRVBOR
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $119,000 NWARMLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $119,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2008-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1998-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $433 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…