2128 Artemis Dr · Portland, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$267,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Carmel- This new single-level home provides ample space to live and grow. An open-concept floorplan combines the kitchen, dining area and family room, with convenient access to a covered patio for seamless entertaining and relaxation. Two secondary bedrooms can be found off the foyer, and the luxe owner's suite is tucked away into a private corner at the back of the home, offering direct access to an en-suite bathroom and roomy walk-in closet. Estimated Completion July 2026. The completion date, prices and features may vary and are subject to change. Please verify with Lennar directly. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Luxe owner's suite
- Walk-in closet
- Covered patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources available
- HOA & community: Subdivision: David Estates
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Garbage service by Republic; Electric service by AEP; Gas service by Centerpoint
- Home design: New construction by Lennar; Cement fiber exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Construction: Built new (approximate age 0)
- Exterior features: Privacy fence
Interior
- Kitchen: Island kitchen; Breakfast bar; Walk-in pantry; Stove/Range; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level with walk-in closet and full bath; Bedroom 2: 10 x 12; Bedroom 3: 11 x 12; Master bedroom dimensions: 12 x 14
- Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath is shower only (dimensions 10 x 7)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric and natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floor plan with 1 living area; Island kitchen with breakfast bar; Walk-in pantry; Utility room inside; Cable TV available; Laundry on main level; Walk-in closets; Washer and dryer connections; Stove/Range; Dishwasher
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry on main level; Utility room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-205 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (11.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.2% in Portland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#36 in TX, #1,740 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Gregory-Portland ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #314 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Andrews El (math 35% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,514 of 4,322 statewide, top 36%, 636 students, 64% FRL); Gregory-Portland Middle (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #613 of 1,662 statewide, top 38%, 1,124 students, 48% FRL); Gregory-Portland H S (math 28% / reading 50%, grade F, #859 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 1,464 students, 45% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 344 units permitted in San Patricio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Patricio County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.27%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,844
- List price
- $267,999
- Delta
- -12.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2131 Artemis Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,634 (-1%) | 1mo | $271,999 | $166 | 96 |
| 2137 Artemis Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,634 (-1%) | 4mo | $300,999 | $184 | 92 |
| 2103 Fury | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,595 (-3%) | 2mo | $319,990 | $201 | 85 |
| 1118 Demeter Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,668 (+1%) | 3mo | $262,000 | $157 | 80 |
| 2107 Fury | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,746 (+6%) | 2mo | $324,990 | $186 | 76 |
| 1111 Poseidon Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (-11%) | 1mo | $236,999 | $161 | 75 |
| 1815 Clapper Rail Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,795 (+9%) | 3mo | $384,900 | $214 | 59 |
| 1818 Spoonbill Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,817 (+10%) | 4mo | $380,000 | $209 | 57 |
| 1812 White Ibis Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,817 (+10%) | 2mo | $379,900 | $209 | 57 |
| 1816 Clapper Rail Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,896 (+15%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $211 | 51 |
| 2020 Oak Ridge Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (+12%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $135 | 44 |
| 2207 Tallow Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,853 (+12%) | 2mo | $329,900 | $178 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-62,547
- Equity at exit
- $39,960
- IRR
- -34.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.26×
- Total profit
- $-94,745
- Equity at exit
- $23,172
Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78374
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,085 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,405
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$335 /mo · $4,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $-205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-20 | -5% $-112 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-297 | +10% $-390 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-369 | -5% $-287 | +0% $-205 | +5% $-122 | +10% $-40 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-70 | -0.5pp $-137 | base $-205 | +0.5pp $-274 | +1.0pp $-345 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,000
- Closing costs
- $8,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1203 Athena Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,400 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2012 Cottonwood Dr Portland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $2,350 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2112 Westwood Dr Portland, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1863 | $2,350 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 6736 Buddy Ganem Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,595 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1801 Atascosa Dr Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1601 Moore Ave Portland, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1295 | $1,899 | $1.47 | 15d | 18 | 0.93mi |
| 201 Walker Ave Portland, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1195 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1719 Austin St Portland, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 46d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1506 Briar St Portland, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1461 Moore Ave Portland, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1313 | $1,750 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2201 Timberline Dr Unit Na Portland, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1825 Billy G Webb Portland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1009 | $1,983 | $1.97 | 15d | 32 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 639-char remark
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2026-05-08price $267,999 639-char remark
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2026-05-06price $265,999 639-char remark
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2026-04-30price $261,999 639-char remark
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2026-04-28price $267,999 639-char remark
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2026-04-22price $269,999 639-char remark
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2026-04-21price $273,999 639-char remark
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2026-04-17$269,999 New 639-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,023
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,012
- − Property taxes
- −$4,020
- − Insurance
- −$1,340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,002
- − Management
- −$2,002
- − Depreciation
- −$7,796
- Taxable loss
- −$7,149
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,716
- After-tax cash flow
- $-741/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gregory-Portland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821780
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,135
- Composite
- 36.62/100
- National rank
- #4622
- State rank
- #314 of 826 in TX
Livability — Portland
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #1740
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portland, TX
- County
- San Patricio County · 31,224 people
- City population
- 20,408
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,408
- Household income
- $83,504
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 523.0
Population outlook (San Patricio County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,538 people
- By 2030
- 79,575 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 87,670 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 96,107 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 117,984 · +56.2%
- By 2100
- 130,010 · +72.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 19% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Estonian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 0%
Political lean MEDSL · San Patricio
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.4) · D 31.4% · R 67.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.6pp · 2024: -36.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.4 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.28%
- Current HPI
- 166.5529
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.84%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $267,999 LERA
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $265,999 LERA
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $261,999 LERA
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $267,999 LERA
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $269,999 LERA
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $273,999 LERA
- 2026-04-17 Listed $269,999 LERA
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…