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80 Maple Dr 🌊 Lakefront
D- Composite 39.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

80 Maple Dr · Perkinston, MS 39573
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2004 5,662 sqft lot $160/sqft · 9% below area Est $230k · 9% under · waterfront $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sunday morning coffee of an chilly fall day in front of the back-porch fireplace. Take the boat out for an afternoon or fishing on the lake. Filling the house with the laughter of friends and family, sharing a meal of the day's catch. Whether it's your primary or vacation home, this 3 BD/2BA house will make you feel like you're on vacation everyday. With 58 feet of water-front and a dock, two fireplaces (one indoors, and one on the screened-in back porch), an an entertaining-deck, you'll never want to leave this lakeside paradise. Furniture, boats, riding lawn mower and golf cart are negotiable.

Key facts

  • Fully stocked lake
  • Expansive dock
  • Screened-in porch

Tags

LAKEFRONT HOMESCREENED-IN PORCHCOZY FIREPLACEEXPANSIVE DOCKENTERTAINING DECKFULLY STOCKED LAKE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Annual association fee of $150; Community offers boating, fishing, and lake access

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 open, unpaved parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Shingle roof; Built in 2026
  • Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Storage structure; Lakefront views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Move-in ready condition; Wood-burning fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (7.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (24.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Stone County School District (town): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #15 of 130 in MS (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Stone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stone County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,375 (24.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  7. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  8. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.78%
DSCR
0.92
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,870
List price
$210,000
Delta
-8.64%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Dogwood Ln 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,390 (+6%) 22mo $324,900 $234 53
123 Maple Dr 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,507 (+15%) 8mo $345,000 $229 48
33 Poplar Dr 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,493 (+14%) 17mo $195,000 $131 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-39,638
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-41,849
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39573

Home prices YoY
-12.6%
Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,594 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,737/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$-87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,704
Max offer price $194,556
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $31 -5% $-28 +0% $-87 +5% $-147 +10% $-206
Rent -10% $-213 -5% $-150 +0% $-87 +5% $-24 +10% $38
Rate -1.0pp $18 -0.5pp $-34 base $-87 +0.5pp $-142 +1.0pp $-197

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $210,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $210,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $210,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $210,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $210,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    listed $210,000 Active 1006-char remark
  18. 2025-07-10
    historical $1,675
  19. 2025-06-28
    listed $1,675
  20. 2024-09-13
    historical $1,600
  21. 2024-09-05
    listed $1,600
  22. 2024-02-13
    historical $1,550
  23. 2024-01-10
    listed $1,550
  24. 2018-02-26
    soldstatus 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Sunday morning coffee of an chilly fall day in front of the back-porch fireplace. Take the boat out for an afternoon or fishing on the lake. Filling the house with the laughter of friends and family, sharing a meal of the day's catch. Whether it's your primary or vacation home, this 3 BD/2BA house will make you feel like you're on vacation everyday. With 58 feet of water-front and a dock, two fireplaces (one indoors, and one on the screened-in back porch), an an entertaining-deck, you'll never want to leave this lakeside paradise. Furniture, boats, riding lawn mower and golf cart are negotiable.

  25. 2017-07-31
    listed $149,900 602-char remark
    Show marketing remark (602 chars)

    Sunday morning coffee of an chilly fall day in front of the back-porch fireplace. Take the boat out for an afternoon or fishing on the lake. Filling the house with the laughter of friends and family, sharing a meal of the day's catch. Whether it's your primary or vacation home, this 3 BD/2BA house will make you feel like you're on vacation everyday. With 58 feet of water-front and a dock, two fireplaces (one indoors, and one on the screened-in back porch), an an entertaining-deck, you'll never want to leave this lakeside paradise. Furniture, boats, riding lawn mower and golf cart are negotiable.

  26. 2015-08-14
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Great waterfront getaway. Home boasts 2 fireplaces, screened back porch the length of the home and wonderful back deck for entertaining. Open floor plan with split bedrooms. Also has 58 feet waterfront and pier. Furniture negotiable, including riding lawn mower.

  27. 2015-04-01
    listed $145,000
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Great waterfront getaway. Home boasts 2 fireplaces, screened back porch the length of the home and wonderful back deck for entertaining. Open floor plan with split bedrooms. Also has 58 feet waterfront and pier. Furniture negotiable, including riding lawn mower.

  28. 2004-08-27
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,737 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,737 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,125
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,737
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,530
− Management
−$1,530
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$4,750
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,140
After-tax cash flow
$91/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Stone County School District
NCES district ID
2804170
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$43,785
Composite
41.4/100
National rank
#3476
State rank
#15 of 130 in MS

Livability — Perkinston

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,770

Population outlook (Stone County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,528 people
By 2030
18,585 · +0.3%
By 2040
18,429 · -0.5%
By 2050
17,825 · -3.8%
By 2075
16,095 · -13.1%
By 2100
14,276 · -22.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stone

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.0) · D 20.5% · R 78.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -58.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.0 2020: R+52.8 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.85%
Current HPI
185.9356
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+44.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $210,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-10 Rental Removed $1,675 MLSU
  • 2025-06-28 Listed for Rent $1,675 MLSU
  • 2024-09-13 Rental Removed $1,600 MLSU
  • 2024-09-05 Listed for Rent $1,600 MLSU
  • 2024-02-13 Rental Removed $1,550 MLSU
  • 2024-01-10 Listed for Rent $1,550 MLSU
  • 2018-02-26 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2017-07-31 Listed $149,900 MLSU
  • 2015-08-14 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2015-04-01 Listed $145,000 MLSU
  • 2004-08-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,737 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…