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7125 N Lagoon Dr Unit N
D- Composite 37.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

7125 N Lagoon Dr Unit N · Upper Grand Lagoon, FL 32408
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · Condo · 167 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition $171/sqft · 11% below area Est $231k · 11% under $530/mo HOA · 29% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This inviting GROUND FLOOR unit features a thoughtful split-bedroom layout with two spacious master suites, offering privacy and flexibility for owners, guests, or renters. The expansive open-concept living area flows beautifully, with large sliding doors that open to a private, courtyard-style side yard - an ideal sunny retreat for morning coffee, relaxing, or letting your pets enjoy some outdoor time. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a lucrative short-term rental opportunity, this unit delivers. The well-maintained complex offers a community pool, ample parking, and the relaxed atmosphere of a smaller, intimate community. Location is everything here.

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Master suites
  • Ground floor unit

Tags

GROUND FLOOR UNITSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUTMASTER SUITESOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREACOMMUNITY POOLAMPLE PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $205k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-930 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $70k (65.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (10.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (65.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 2.6% in Upper Grand Lagoon — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#583 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Patronis Elementary School (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #345 of 2,144 statewide, top 17%, 648 students, 42% FRL); Surfside Middle School (math 58% / reading 59%, grade B, #148 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 843 students, 48% FRL); J.R. Arnold High School (math 41% / reading 54%, grade D, #204 of 667 statewide, top 31%, 1,617 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 1433 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,369 (65.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 66% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89% ✗
Cap rate
3.34%
Cash-on-cash
-10.53%
DSCR
0.53
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$231,426
List price
$205,000
Delta
-11.42%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
311 Prudence Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,276 (+6%) 0mo $325,000 $255 70
6425 Summer Oak Dr 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,232 (+3%) 0mo $230,000 $187 65
3624 Betsy Ln 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,310 (+9%) 0mo $345,000 $263 63
5801 Thomas Dr Unit 712 1.02mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-5%) 0mo $420,000 $367 55
5801 Thomas Dr #1319 1.02mi 2/2.0 1,144 (-5%) 0mo $449,000 $392 55
6314 Hilltop Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,286 (+7%) 0mo $350,000 $272 55
5801 Thomas Dr #1323 1.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+4%) 0mo $465,000 $373 51
5801 Thomas Dr #1204 1.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,248 (+4%) 0mo $508,000 $407 51
5620 Pinetree Ave 1.12mi 2/2.0 936 (-22%) 0mo $340,000 $363 38
5801 Thomas Dr Unit 721 1.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (+14%) 0mo $475,000 $346 34
5801 Thomas Dr Unit 621 1.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (+14%) 0mo $500,000 $364 34
5801 Thomas Dr #621 1.06mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (+14%) 0mo $500,000 $364 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-56.6%
Equity multiple
-0.61×
Total profit
$-92,684
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
—
Equity multiple
-1.75×
Total profit
$-157,860
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
2 active · 6 under contract
Median asking
$330,000 ($298/sqft)
Median days on market
105 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
-35.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32408

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
1433
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,826 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax est. 1.5%
−$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
Insurance
−$85
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
−$530
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$384
Net cashflow
$-930

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,004
Max offer price $70,369
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-789 -5% $-860 +0% $-930 +5% $-1,001 +10% $-1,072
Rent -10% $-1,075 -5% $-1,003 +0% $-930 +5% $-858 +10% $-786
Rate -1.0pp $-827 -0.5pp $-878 base $-930 +0.5pp $-984 +1.0pp $-1,038

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7125 N Lagoon Dr Panama City, FL 2.0 2.5 1250 $2,000 $1.60 162d 1 0.02mi
7813 N Lagoon Dr Unit 4A Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,650 $2.29 10d 1 0.23mi
7813 N Lagoon Dr Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,500 $2.08 10d 1 0.23mi
7813 N Lagoon Dr Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 1060 $1,900 $1.79 162d 1 0.23mi
447 Water Oak Cir Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 980 $1,800 $1.84 162d 1 0.28mi
6901 N Lagoon Dr Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 3.0 1230 $2,000 $1.63 10d 1 0.30mi
6732 Sunset Ave Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $2,300 $1.87 10d 1 0.33mi
4024 Upas St Panama City Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 744 $1,300 $1.75 10d 1 0.40mi
248 Scooter Dr Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,795 $1.29 51d 1 0.41mi
6616 Beach Dr Unit B Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 970 $1,500 $1.55 10d 1 0.44mi
6427 Sunset Ave Unit 2 Panama City, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,225 $1.36 162d 1 0.51mi
2103 Bent Oak Ct Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 162d 1 0.54mi
2340 Grand Oaks Ln Unit 1523381P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1001 $4,240 $4.24 154d 1 0.55mi
7205 Thomas Dr Unit 1354970P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1044 $3,227 $3.09 162d 1 0.56mi
7405A Beach Dr Unit 1355031P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1291 $2,124 $1.65 162d 1 0.59mi
6417 Causeway Rd Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1326 $1,600 $1.21 0d 1 0.62mi
7220 Poinciana Dr Unit B Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 792 $1,200 $1.52 9d 1 0.68mi
2617 Cypress St Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 720 $1,300 $1.81 162d 1 0.73mi
2519 Beech St Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 10d 1 0.76mi
6222 Sunset Dr Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,750 $1.62 6d 1 0.80mi
1219 Navy Blvd #82 Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,750 $1.90 10d 1 0.82mi
5931 Pinetree Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 162d 1 0.84mi
5919 Pinetree Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 1.5 1172 $1,550 $1.32 1d 1 0.87mi
6219 Poinciana Dr Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1214 $2,350 $1.94 6d 1 0.88mi
8623 N Lagoon Dr Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,950 $1.62 10d 1 0.89mi
8115 Thomas Dr Unit 1355017P Panama City, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 618 $1,706 $2.76 10d 2 0.94mi
5726 Beach Dr Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 1158 $1,795 $1.55 51d 1 1.04mi
5710 Sunset Ave Unit 1523314P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1087 $8,246 $7.59 162d 1 1.06mi
8424 Elizabeth Ave Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 748 $1,500 $2.01 51d 1 1.17mi
5500 Sunset Ave Panama City Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 788 $1,300 $1.65 0d 1 1.25mi
5409 Hilltop Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 162d 1 1.29mi
5324 Pinetree Ave Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,350 $1.42 10d 1 1.34mi
8730 Thomas Dr Unit 1355041P Panama City Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 839 $1,373 $1.64 162d 1 1.42mi
5230 Beach Dr Unit A Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 162d 1 1.43mi
5230 Beach Dr Unit D Panama City, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 162d 1 1.43mi
2526 Laurie Ave Unit B Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 6d 1 1.47mi
2526 Laurie Ave Panama City, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $1,750 $1.84 154d 1 1.47mi
2195 Wilkinson St Panama City Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,924 $1.89 1d 32 1.48mi
9009 Banyan Beach Dr Panama City Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1476 $2,295 $1.55 10d 1 1.48mi
8715 Surf Dr Unit 1523323P Panama City Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1194 $5,377 $4.50 154d 1 1.49mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Has homeowners associationAssociation barbecue amenityCommunity poolShort-term rentals allowed

Exterior

Parking
Dumpster available
Utilities
Cable connectedPublic sewer
Home design
Entry on level 1
Construction
Shingle roofSlab foundation
Exterior features
Covered porchFenced yardIn-ground community poolPaved lot

Interior

Kitchen
Electric cooktopElectric range
Bedrooms
Primary bedroom (second level)Bedroom (second level)
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral airCeiling fans
Interior features
Covered porch
Laundry & utility
Electric water heater

HOA detail $530/mo · $6,360/yr condo

Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 167 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 166 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $205,000 Active 165 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $205,000 Active 164 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $205,000 Active 163 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 161 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 160 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 159 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $205,000 Active 158 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $205,000 Active 157 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $205,000 Active 156 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    days on market $205,000 Active 155 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $205,000 Active 154 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $205,000 Active 153 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $205,000 Active 152 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $205,000 Active 151 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $205,000 Active 150 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $205,000 Active 149 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $205,000 Active 148 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $205,000 Active 147 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 146 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 145 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $205,000 Active 144 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 143 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $205,000 Active 142 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 141 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $205,000 Active 140 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $205,000 Active 139 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    days on market $205,000 Active 138 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 137 DOM
  31. 2026-10-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 136 DOM
  32. 2026-10-07
    days on market $205,000 Active 135 DOM
  33. 2026-10-06
    days on market $205,000 Active 134 DOM
  34. 2026-10-05
    price $205,000 Active 133 DOM
  35. 2026-10-05
    days on market $210,000 Active 133 DOM
  36. 2026-10-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 132 DOM
  37. 2026-10-04
    days on market $210,000 Active 131 DOM
  38. 2026-10-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 130 DOM
  39. 2026-10-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 129 DOM
  40. 2026-09-30
    days on market $210,000 Active 128 DOM
  41. 2026-09-29
    days on market $210,000 Active 127 DOM
  42. 2026-09-28
    days on market $210,000 Active 126 DOM
  43. 2026-09-27
    days on market $210,000 Active 125 DOM
  44. 2026-09-26
    days on market $210,000 Active 124 DOM
  45. 2026-09-25
    days on market $210,000 Active 123 DOM
  46. 2026-09-24
    days on market $210,000 Active 122 DOM
  47. 2026-09-24
    days on market $210,000 Active 121 DOM
  48. 2026-09-22
    days on market $210,000 Active 120 DOM
  49. 2026-09-20
    days on market $210,000 Active 118 DOM
  50. 2026-09-19
    days on market $210,000 Active 117 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 51% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,917
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$3,075
− Insurance
−$6,144
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,753
− Management
−$1,753
− HOA
−$6,360
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$14,615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,508
After-tax cash flow
$-7,657/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,000–$18,000 screening

This ground-floor condo unit is in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed. It offers a split-bedroom layout and an open-concept living area with a private courtyard-style side yard. The well-maintained complex offers a community pool and ample parking, making it an ideal short-term rental opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Dated cabinetry
  • Minor Kitchen appliances — Dated appliances
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated fixtures

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
  • Resale Replace kitchen cabinets and appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
  • Resale Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Enhances bathroom aesthetics and value ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 59/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Patronis Elementary School A- FL #345/2,144 Nat'l #3,382/41,679 Middle Surfside Middle School B FL #148/571 Nat'l #2,008/14,009 High J.r. Arnold High School D FL #204/667 Nat'l #6,282/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 67/100

Livability — Upper Grand Lagoon

Score
67/100
State rank
#583
US rank
#11085

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
County
Bay County · 206,264 people
City population
18,326
Metro
Panama City, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,832
Household income
$80,822
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

+233.3% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-26 Price Changed $215,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Price Changed $220,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-25 Listed $200,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $225,000 ECAR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $225,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $229,000 ECAR
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $229,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-11-15 Price Changed $235,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $235,000 ECAR
  • 2025-11-14 Listed $248,000 CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-31 Delisted — ECAR
  • 2023-03-31 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-13 Relisted — CPARMLS
  • 2023-03-06 Relisted — ECAR
  • 2023-03-06 Relisted — NAMLS
  • 2023-02-05 Pending — CPARMLS
  • 2023-01-31 Relisted — CPARMLS
  • 2023-01-28 Contingent — CPARMLS
  • 2023-01-25 Pending — CPARMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Pending — NAMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Pending — ECAR
  • 2022-12-05 Listing Removed — NAMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Contingent — CPARMLS
  • 2022-11-15 Listed $224,900 ECAR
  • 2022-11-11 Listed $224,900 NAMLS
  • 2022-11-11 Listed $224,900 CPARMLS
  • 2022-11-03 Delisted — ECAR
  • 2022-09-23 Price Changed $218,900 ECAR
  • 2022-08-30 Price Changed $225,000 ECAR
  • 2022-07-26 Listed $229,000 ECAR
  • 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
  • 2021-12-10 Sold (MLS) $200,000 CPARMLS
  • 2021-09-27 Listed $215,000 CPARMLS
  • 2011-06-29 Listed $64,500 CPARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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