7125 N Lagoon Dr Unit N · Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.51%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Cash flow +4.8/30.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This inviting GROUND FLOOR unit features a thoughtful split-bedroom layout with two spacious master suites, offering privacy and flexibility for owners, guests, or renters. The expansive open-concept living area flows beautifully, with large sliding doors that open to a private, courtyard-style side yard - an ideal sunny retreat for morning coffee, relaxing, or letting your pets enjoy some outdoor time. Whether you're looking for a full-time residence or a lucrative short-term rental opportunity, this unit delivers. The well-maintained complex offers a community pool, ample parking, and the relaxed atmosphere of a smaller, intimate community. Location is everything here.
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Master suites
- Ground floor unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $205k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-930 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $70k (65.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $70k (65.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 2.6% in Upper Grand Lagoon — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#583 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Patronis Elementary School (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A-, #345 of 2,144 statewide, top 17%, 648 students, 42% FRL); Surfside Middle School (math 58% / reading 59%, grade B, #148 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 843 students, 48% FRL); J.R. Arnold High School (math 41% / reading 54%, grade D, #204 of 667 statewide, top 31%, 1,617 students, 36% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 1433 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 51d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 66% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.53%
- DSCR
- 0.53
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $231,426
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- -11.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 Prudence Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,276 (+6%) | 0mo | $325,000 | $255 | 70 |
| 6425 Summer Oak Dr | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,232 (+3%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $187 | 65 |
| 3624 Betsy Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,310 (+9%) | 0mo | $345,000 | $263 | 63 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr Unit 712 | 1.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-5%) | 0mo | $420,000 | $367 | 55 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr #1319 | 1.02mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-5%) | 0mo | $449,000 | $392 | 55 |
| 6314 Hilltop Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,286 (+7%) | 0mo | $350,000 | $272 | 55 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr #1323 | 1.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+4%) | 0mo | $465,000 | $373 | 51 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr #1204 | 1.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+4%) | 0mo | $508,000 | $407 | 51 |
| 5620 Pinetree Ave | 1.12mi | 2/2.0 | 936 (-22%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $363 | 38 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr Unit 721 | 1.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+14%) | 0mo | $475,000 | $346 | 34 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr Unit 621 | 1.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+14%) | 0mo | $500,000 | $364 | 34 |
| 5801 Thomas Dr #621 | 1.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+14%) | 0mo | $500,000 | $364 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -56.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-92,684
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.75×
- Total profit
- $-157,860
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 2 active · 6 under contract
- Median asking
- $330,000 ($298/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 105 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -35.4% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32408
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 1433
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,826 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$256 /mo · $3,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$530
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-930
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-789 | -5% $-860 | +0% $-930 | +5% $-1,001 | +10% $-1,072 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,075 | -5% $-1,003 | +0% $-930 | +5% $-858 | +10% $-786 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-827 | -0.5pp $-878 | base $-930 | +0.5pp $-984 | +1.0pp $-1,038 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7125 N Lagoon Dr Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 162d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 7813 N Lagoon Dr Unit 4A Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,650 | $2.29 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7813 N Lagoon Dr Unit 1 Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 10d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 7813 N Lagoon Dr Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1060 | $1,900 | $1.79 | 162d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 447 Water Oak Cir Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,800 | $1.84 | 162d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 6901 N Lagoon Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 10d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6732 Sunset Ave Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $2,300 | $1.87 | 10d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 4024 Upas St Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $1,300 | $1.75 | 10d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 248 Scooter Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1392 | $1,795 | $1.29 | 51d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 6616 Beach Dr Unit B Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 970 | $1,500 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6427 Sunset Ave Unit 2 Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,225 | $1.36 | 162d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2103 Bent Oak Ct Panama City, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 162d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2340 Grand Oaks Ln Unit 1523381P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1001 | $4,240 | $4.24 | 154d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 7205 Thomas Dr Unit 1354970P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $3,227 | $3.09 | 162d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7405A Beach Dr Unit 1355031P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $2,124 | $1.65 | 162d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6417 Causeway Rd Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1326 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7220 Poinciana Dr Unit B Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,200 | $1.52 | 9d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2617 Cypress St Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,300 | $1.81 | 162d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2519 Beech St Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,550 | $1.29 | 10d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 6222 Sunset Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 6d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1219 Navy Blvd #82 Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 10d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5931 Pinetree Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 162d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 5919 Pinetree Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1172 | $1,550 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6219 Poinciana Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $2,350 | $1.94 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8623 N Lagoon Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 10d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8115 Thomas Dr Unit 1355017P Panama City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 618 | $1,706 | $2.76 | 10d | 2 | 0.94mi |
| 5726 Beach Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1158 | $1,795 | $1.55 | 51d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5710 Sunset Ave Unit 1523314P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $8,246 | $7.59 | 162d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 8424 Elizabeth Ave Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,500 | $2.01 | 51d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5500 Sunset Ave Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 788 | $1,300 | $1.65 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5409 Hilltop Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 162d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5324 Pinetree Ave Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 10d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8730 Thomas Dr Unit 1355041P Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,373 | $1.64 | 162d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5230 Beach Dr Unit A Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 162d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5230 Beach Dr Unit D Panama City, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 162d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2526 Laurie Ave Unit B Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 6d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2526 Laurie Ave Panama City, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,750 | $1.84 | 154d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2195 Wilkinson St Panama City Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,924 | $1.89 | 1d | 32 | 1.48mi |
| 9009 Banyan Beach Dr Panama City Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1476 | $2,295 | $1.55 | 10d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8715 Surf Dr Unit 1523323P Panama City Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $5,377 | $4.50 | 154d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Has homeowners associationAssociation barbecue amenityCommunity poolShort-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Dumpster available
- Utilities
- Cable connectedPublic sewer
- Home design
- Entry on level 1
- Construction
- Shingle roofSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Covered porchFenced yardIn-ground community poolPaved lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- Electric cooktopElectric range
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroom (second level)Bedroom (second level)
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral airCeiling fans
- Interior features
- Covered porch
- Laundry & utility
- Electric water heater
HOA detail $530/mo · $6,360/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $205,000 Active 167 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $205,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $205,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $205,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $205,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $205,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $205,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $205,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $205,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $205,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $205,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $205,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $205,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $205,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $205,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $205,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $205,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $205,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $205,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $205,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $205,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $205,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $205,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $205,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $205,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $205,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $205,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $205,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $205,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $205,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $205,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $205,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $205,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-10-05price $205,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $210,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $210,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $210,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $210,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $210,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $210,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $210,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $210,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $210,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-09-26days on market $210,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $210,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $210,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $210,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $210,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $210,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $210,000 Active 117 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 51% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$3,075
- − Insurance
- −$6,144
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,753
- − Management
- −$1,753
- − HOA
- −$6,360
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$14,615
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This ground-floor condo unit is in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed. It offers a split-bedroom layout and an open-concept living area with a private courtyard-style side yard. The well-maintained complex offers a community pool and ample parking, making it an ideal short-term rental opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Dated cabinetry
- Minor Kitchen appliances — Dated appliances
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated fixtures
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets and appliances — Modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Resale Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Enhances bathroom aesthetics and value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bay
- NCES district ID
- 1200090
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,740
- Composite
- 43.41/100
- National rank
- #3014
- State rank
- #29 of 73 in FL
Livability — Upper Grand Lagoon
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #11085
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Upper Grand Lagoon, FL
- County
- Bay County · 206,264 people
- City population
- 18,326
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,832
- Household income
- $80,822
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 206,264 people
- By 2030
- 217,740 · +5.6%
- By 2040
- 238,738 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 255,545 · +23.9%
- By 2075
- 288,295 · +39.8%
- By 2100
- 288,638 · +39.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.52%
- Current HPI
- 246.9126
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.55%
- Metro
- Panama City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-26 Price Changed $215,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-25 Price Changed $220,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-25 Listed $200,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $225,000 ECAR
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $225,000 CPARMLS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $229,000 ECAR
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $229,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-11-15 Price Changed $235,000 CPARMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $235,000 ECAR
- 2025-11-14 Listed $248,000 CPARMLS
- 2023-03-31 Delisted — ECAR
- 2023-03-31 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2023-03-13 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2023-03-06 Relisted — ECAR
- 2023-03-06 Relisted — NAMLS
- 2023-02-05 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2023-01-31 Relisted — CPARMLS
- 2023-01-28 Contingent — CPARMLS
- 2023-01-25 Pending — CPARMLS
- 2022-12-05 Pending — NAMLS
- 2022-12-05 Pending — ECAR
- 2022-12-05 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 2022-12-05 Contingent — CPARMLS
- 2022-11-15 Listed $224,900 ECAR
- 2022-11-11 Listed $224,900 NAMLS
- 2022-11-11 Listed $224,900 CPARMLS
- 2022-11-03 Delisted — ECAR
- 2022-09-23 Price Changed $218,900 ECAR
- 2022-08-30 Price Changed $225,000 ECAR
- 2022-07-26 Listed $229,000 ECAR
- 2021-12-14 Listing Removed — CPARMLS
- 2021-12-10 Sold (MLS) $200,000 CPARMLS
- 2021-09-27 Listed $215,000 CPARMLS
- 2011-06-29 Listed $64,500 CPARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…