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10961 Burnt Mill Rd #814
D+ Composite 47.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

10961 Burnt Mill Rd #814 · Jacksonville, FL 32256
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,171 sqft · Condo public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2001 $474/mo HOA · 27% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Two bedroom unit faces the pond on the FIRST FLOOR with GARAGE and extra storage unit. Need we say more? It features New LVP flooring throughout the open floor plan, Newer Ac unit, Newer water softner, Newer water heater, New fixtures , granite countertops throughout, modern white cabinets, and stainless steal appliances. MOVE IN READY! Located in the heart of Jacksonville and minutes away from Town Center and all major highways . Beautifully maintained gated community with 24-Hour Envera Security and loads of amenities including pool and fitness.

Key facts

  • $474 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Community pool available (not private)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly association fee includes insurance, grounds maintenance, and trash; Community amenities: basketball court, clubhouse, fitness center, gated community, grounds maintenance, full-time management; Sidewalks in community

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage; Off-street parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Condominium; 3 stories; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio with screened porch; Private paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (entry level)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-65 ($-777/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (9.1% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Twin Lakes Academy Elementary School (math 44% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,345 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 881 students, 50% FRL); Twin Lakes Academy Middle School (math 43% / reading 38%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,076 students, 44% FRL); Atlantic Coast High School (math 37% / reading 48%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 2,537 students, 35% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 520 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.6%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; HOA is 27% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,564 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
5.67%
Cash-on-cash
-2.22%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.58% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.2%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-20,909
Equity at exit
$26,742
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-32,660
Equity at exit
$25,251

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32256

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
520
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,776 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,436/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$474
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$373
Net cashflow
$-65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,858
Max offer price $113,564
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $6 -5% $-29 +0% $-65 +5% $-100 +10% $-135
Rent -10% $-205 -5% $-135 +0% $-65 +5% $5 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $-2 -0.5pp $-33 base $-65 +0.5pp $-97 +1.0pp $-130

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10961 Burnt Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,900 $1.89 0d 4 0.05mi
10961 Burnt Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1207 $1,750 $1.45 5d 3 0.05mi
10961 Burnt Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1181 $1,800 $1.52 4d 2 0.05mi
10901 Burnt Mill Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1519 $2,050 $1.35 5d 3 0.19mi
10880 Angelfish Way Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1066 $1,788 $1.68 0d 25 0.24mi
5116 Gate Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 952 $1,981 $2.08 0d 11 0.38mi
7318 Sea Garden LN Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.5 1484 $2,575 $1.74 0d 54 0.64mi
5000 Big Island Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1215 $1,885 $1.55 0d 6 0.68mi
7507 Park Village Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1057 $2,106 $1.99 0d 19 0.71mi
7385 Park Village Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1056 $1,867 $1.77 5d 14 0.71mi
10640 Satori Ln Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 933 $1,913 $2.05 0d 24 0.74mi
7801 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,925 $1.43 25d 3 0.80mi
7801 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1279 $1,550 $1.21 0d 3 0.80mi
7801 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1347 $1,900 $1.41 22d 3 0.80mi
7800 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1265 $1,525 $1.21 22d 2 0.81mi
7800 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1231 $1,538 $1.25 0d 2 0.81mi
7800 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1096 $1,550 $1.41 25d 3 0.81mi
7800 Point Meadows Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1096 $1,550 $1.41 23d 3 0.81mi
5290 Big Island Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1105 $2,198 $1.99 0d 24 0.83mi
10010 Skinner Lake Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $1,574 $1.57 0d 15 1.02mi
10667 Brightman Blvd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $2,024 $1.84 4d 13 1.10mi
4674 Town Center Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 888 $1,912 $2.15 0d 16 1.13mi
10435 Midtown Pkwy #344 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1485 $1,795 $1.21 25d 1 1.18mi
10435 Mid Town Pkwy Unit 103 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1113 $1,390 $1.25 25d 1 1.19mi
10435 Mid Town Pkwy Unit 206 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1113 $1,695 $1.52 9d 1 1.19mi
11830 Buckfield Cir Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $2,772 $2.46 0d 8 1.21mi
10000 Gate Pkwy N Jacksonville, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 0d 2 1.26mi
10655 Brightman Blvd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 947 $2,250 $2.38 0d 24 1.31mi
10075 Gate Pkwy N Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1064 $1,598 $1.50 14d 3 1.32mi
7990 Baymeadows Rd E Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1229 $1,495 $1.22 0d 5 1.36mi
7990 Baymeadows Rd E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,640 $1.26 6d 4 1.36mi
7990 Baymeadows Rd E Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,724 $1.32 18d 3 1.36mi
7990 Baymeadows Rd E Unit 7990-928 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1206 $1,490 $1.24 25d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$474 · $5,688/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-26
    listed $125,000 Active
  3. 2023-08-29
    status Pending 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    This Two bedroom unit faces the pond on the FIRST FLOOR with GARAGE and extra storage unit. Need we say more? It features New LVP flooring throughout the open floor plan, Newer Ac unit, Newer water softner, Newer water heater, New fixtures , granite countertops throughout, modern white cabinets, and stainless steal appliances. MOVE IN READY! Located in the heart of Jacksonville and minutes away from Town Center and all major highways . Beautifully maintained gated community with 24-Hour Envera Security and loads of amenities including pool and fitness.

  4. 2023-08-28
    soldstatus $293,000 Closed 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    This Two bedroom unit faces the pond on the FIRST FLOOR with GARAGE and extra storage unit. Need we say more? It features New LVP flooring throughout the open floor plan, Newer Ac unit, Newer water softner, Newer water heater, New fixtures , granite countertops throughout, modern white cabinets, and stainless steal appliances. MOVE IN READY! Located in the heart of Jacksonville and minutes away from Town Center and all major highways . Beautifully maintained gated community with 24-Hour Envera Security and loads of amenities including pool and fitness.

  5. 2023-07-20
    status Pending 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    This Two bedroom unit faces the pond on the FIRST FLOOR with GARAGE and extra storage unit. Need we say more? It features New LVP flooring throughout the open floor plan, Newer Ac unit, Newer water softner, Newer water heater, New fixtures , granite countertops throughout, modern white cabinets, and stainless steal appliances. MOVE IN READY! Located in the heart of Jacksonville and minutes away from Town Center and all major highways . Beautifully maintained gated community with 24-Hour Envera Security and loads of amenities including pool and fitness.

  6. 2023-07-13
    historical Active - Contingent 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    This Two bedroom unit faces the pond on the FIRST FLOOR with GARAGE and extra storage unit. Need we say more? It features New LVP flooring throughout the open floor plan, Newer Ac unit, Newer water softner, Newer water heater, New fixtures , granite countertops throughout, modern white cabinets, and stainless steal appliances. MOVE IN READY! Located in the heart of Jacksonville and minutes away from Town Center and all major highways . Beautifully maintained gated community with 24-Hour Envera Security and loads of amenities including pool and fitness.

  7. 2023-07-06
    listed $289,000 Active 558-char remark
    Show marketing remark (558 chars)

    This Two bedroom unit faces the pond on the FIRST FLOOR with GARAGE and extra storage unit. Need we say more? It features New LVP flooring throughout the open floor plan, Newer Ac unit, Newer water softner, Newer water heater, New fixtures , granite countertops throughout, modern white cabinets, and stainless steal appliances. MOVE IN READY! Located in the heart of Jacksonville and minutes away from Town Center and all major highways . Beautifully maintained gated community with 24-Hour Envera Security and loads of amenities including pool and fitness.

  8. 2020-12-16
    soldstatus $175,000
  9. 2020-11-20
    soldstatus $175,000 Sold 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Come and enjoy the luxury lifestyle at an affordable price! Ground floor lakeview condo that has been fully updated and is in move-in ready condition. This unit also comes with a premium garage that has ample space for storage. Recent Updates include; new appliances, new AC new hot water heater, new water softener, light fixtures, new flooring and much more! This beautifully landscaped and gated community has some of the nicest amenities in the area that include gorgeous clubhouse, fitness and pool area. All appliances convey including washer & dryer and are in great working order. Limited rentals allowed in this community and majority is owner occupied . Centrally located about 1 mile to 295, 5 minutes to St Johns Town Center and less then 20 mins to Downtown or Beaches.

  10. 2020-11-20
    soldstatus $175,000
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Come and enjoy the luxury lifestyle at an affordable price! Ground floor lakeview condo that has been fully updated and is in move-in ready condition. This unit also comes with a premium garage that has ample space for storage. Recent Updates include; new appliances, new AC new hot water heater, new water softener, light fixtures, new flooring and much more! This beautifully landscaped and gated community has some of the nicest amenities in the area that include gorgeous clubhouse, fitness and pool area. All appliances convey including washer & dryer and are in great working order. Limited rentals allowed in this community and majority is owner occupied . Centrally located about 1 mile to 295, 5 minutes to St Johns Town Center and less then 20 mins to Downtown or Beaches.

  11. 2020-11-16
    status Pending 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Come and enjoy the luxury lifestyle at an affordable price! Ground floor lakeview condo that has been fully updated and is in move-in ready condition. This unit also comes with a premium garage that has ample space for storage. Recent Updates include; new appliances, new AC new hot water heater, new water softener, light fixtures, new flooring and much more! This beautifully landscaped and gated community has some of the nicest amenities in the area that include gorgeous clubhouse, fitness and pool area. All appliances convey including washer & dryer and are in great working order. Limited rentals allowed in this community and majority is owner occupied . Centrally located about 1 mile to 295, 5 minutes to St Johns Town Center and less then 20 mins to Downtown or Beaches.

  12. 2020-10-28
    historical Active - Contingent 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Come and enjoy the luxury lifestyle at an affordable price! Ground floor lakeview condo that has been fully updated and is in move-in ready condition. This unit also comes with a premium garage that has ample space for storage. Recent Updates include; new appliances, new AC new hot water heater, new water softener, light fixtures, new flooring and much more! This beautifully landscaped and gated community has some of the nicest amenities in the area that include gorgeous clubhouse, fitness and pool area. All appliances convey including washer & dryer and are in great working order. Limited rentals allowed in this community and majority is owner occupied . Centrally located about 1 mile to 295, 5 minutes to St Johns Town Center and less then 20 mins to Downtown or Beaches.

  13. 2020-10-22
    listed $177,500 Active 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Come and enjoy the luxury lifestyle at an affordable price! Ground floor lakeview condo that has been fully updated and is in move-in ready condition. This unit also comes with a premium garage that has ample space for storage. Recent Updates include; new appliances, new AC new hot water heater, new water softener, light fixtures, new flooring and much more! This beautifully landscaped and gated community has some of the nicest amenities in the area that include gorgeous clubhouse, fitness and pool area. All appliances convey including washer & dryer and are in great working order. Limited rentals allowed in this community and majority is owner occupied . Centrally located about 1 mile to 295, 5 minutes to St Johns Town Center and less then 20 mins to Downtown or Beaches.

  14. 2020-10-22
    listed $177,500
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    Come and enjoy the luxury lifestyle at an affordable price! Ground floor lakeview condo that has been fully updated and is in move-in ready condition. This unit also comes with a premium garage that has ample space for storage. Recent Updates include; new appliances, new AC new hot water heater, new water softener, light fixtures, new flooring and much more! This beautifully landscaped and gated community has some of the nicest amenities in the area that include gorgeous clubhouse, fitness and pool area. All appliances convey including washer & dryer and are in great working order. Limited rentals allowed in this community and majority is owner occupied . Centrally located about 1 mile to 295, 5 minutes to St Johns Town Center and less then 20 mins to Downtown or Beaches.

  15. 2016-03-01
    soldstatus $126,800
  16. 2016-02-26
    soldstatus $126,800 Sold
  17. 2016-02-23
    status Pending
  18. 2016-02-04
    historical Active - Contingent
  19. 2016-02-01
    status Active
  20. 2015-12-19
    status Pending
  21. 2015-10-29
    listed $134,900 Active
  22. 2015-10-29
    price $132,000
  23. 2012-05-03
    soldstatus $100,000
  24. 2012-04-25
    historical
  25. 2012-04-24
    soldstatus $100,000
  26. 2011-06-13
    listed $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,436 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,436 · $286/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,314
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$3,436
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,705
− Management
−$1,705
− HOA
−$5,688
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$2,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$596
After-tax cash flow
$-181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
58,192
Household income
$73,570
Rent vs Own
61.3% rent · 38.7% own
Severe rent burden
2706.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 18% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.58%
Current HPI
216.5115
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.7% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-26 Listed $125,000 realMLS
  • 2023-08-29 Pending realMLS
  • 2023-08-28 Sold (MLS) $293,000 realMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Pending realMLS
  • 2023-07-13 Contingent realMLS
  • 2023-07-06 Listed $289,000 realMLS
  • 2020-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $175,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $175,000 realMLS
  • 2020-11-16 Pending realMLS
  • 2020-10-28 Contingent realMLS
  • 2020-10-22 Listed $177,500 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2020-10-22 Listed $177,500 realMLS
  • 2016-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $126,800 Public Records
  • 2016-02-26 Sold (MLS) $126,800 realMLS
  • 2016-02-23 Pending realMLS
  • 2016-02-04 Contingent realMLS
  • 2016-02-01 Relisted realMLS
  • 2015-12-19 Pending realMLS
  • 2015-10-29 Listed $134,900 realMLS
  • 2015-10-29 Price Changed $132,000 realMLS
  • 2012-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-25 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2012-04-24 Sold (MLS) $100,000 realMLS
  • 2011-06-13 Listed $115,000 realMLS

Property tax history

+14.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,436 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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