567 West Mountain Rd · Cascade, ID
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $584 – $1,086
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
COZY MOUNTAIN COTTAGE NEAR LAKE CASCADE! Year round access on paved road. Lots of knotty pine inside gives this vacation cabin a true mountain vibe. Perfect base camp in a recreational epicenter. Less than 2 miles to Campbell Creek boat ramp for Lake Cascade. Less than 2 miles to parking area for ATV and snowmobile adventures on West Mountain. Less than 7 miles to downtown Cascade and about 17 miles to Tamarack Ski Resort. Great place to create family memories and/or turn into a income generating vacation rental. Separate shop building with power and concrete slab for boat/toys storage. Covered deck, fire pit, picnic table. Most furniture included.
Key facts
- Parking area for atv
- Paved road
- Knotty pine
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Built in 1976; Located in the West Mountain subdivision
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Paved road access; Property currently used as a single-family residence; Lot approximately 10,000 sq. ft. (~0.49 acre)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on upper level)
- Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating: wall furnace; No central cooling
- Interior features: Wall furnace heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-60 ($-714/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $414k (2.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $308k (27.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $308k (27.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.6% in Cascade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#116 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Cascade District (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #94 of 133 in ID (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cascade Elementary School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #148 of 357 statewide, top 47%, 119 students, 33% FRL); Cascade Jr/Sr High School (math 54% / reading 74%, grade B-, #10 of 169 statewide, top 7%, 87 students, 15% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 40% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cascade District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 406 active listings in the ZIP; 250 units permitted in Valley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Valley County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($419k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.60%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-72,886
- Equity at exit
- $63,369
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-69,268
- Equity at exit
- $36,746
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Idaho
- 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 83611
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 406
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,081 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$647
- Net cashflow
- $-60
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $425,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $425,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $425,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $425,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $425,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-06-04$425,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ID · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,050 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,932 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,883/yr (+$157/mo · 179.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥88°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,958
- − Management
- −$2,958
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable loss
- −$8,291
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,990
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,276/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cascade District
- NCES district ID
- 1600630
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,227
- Composite
- 36.83/100
- National rank
- #9162
- State rank
- #94 of 133 in ID
Livability — Cascade
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #116
- US rank
- #12378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,997
Population outlook (Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,964 people
- By 2030
- 11,279 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,584 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 11,754 · +7.2%
- By 2075
- 12,246 · +11.7%
- By 2100
- 11,948 · +9.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 7% Dutch 6% Portuguese 5%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Valley
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.6) · D 39.6% · R 58.2% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.9pp · 2024: -18.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.6 2020: R+13.7 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+11.6 2008: R+6.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.61%
- Current HPI
- 307.0117
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $79B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $6B |
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Price history
+674.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $425,000 MCAOR
- 2026-06-03 Listed $425,000 IMLS
- 2011-11-14 Sold (MLS) — IMLS
- 2011-09-21 Listed $54,900 IMLS
- 2011-08-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,050 · +16.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…